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Pro League
Referee: Jonathan Lardot
Mechelen
T U T S U
3–4
Full-time
Anderlecht
S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Anderlecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
This season — Pro League · 9/6 matches
Win Ø 31%
11%
50%
Points per game
0,9
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,4
3,0
Scored
1,1
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–4

47% Possession 53%
9 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 5
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 3
3 Offside 3
9 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mechelen 12. · Anderlecht 8. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Royal Excel Mouscron 9 5 2 2 +2 17
2 Waregem 9 5 1 3 +9 16
3 St Truiden 9 5 1 3 +0 16
4 Club Brugge 6 5 0 1 +9 15
5 Antwerp 9 4 3 2 +1 15
6 Charleroi 5 4 1 0 +6 13
7 Beveren 9 3 3 3 +7 12
8 Anderlecht 6 3 2 1 +2 11
9 Lokeren 9 3 1 5 -3 10
10 Genk 6 2 3 1 +2 9
11 Kortrijk 9 2 3 4 -4 9
12 Mechelen 9 1 5 3 -2 8
13 Standard 5 1 2 2 -4 5
14 Oostende 9 1 2 6 -8 5
15 Eupen 9 1 2 6 -15 5
16 Gent 6 1 1 4 -2 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen Anderlecht
18′
⚽ P. Gerkens 0–1
S. Hanni
30′
⚽ H. Onyekuru 0–2
S. Hanni
1–2 R. Schoofs ⚽
M. Rits
34′
37′
⚽ H. Onyekuru 1–3
P. Gerkens
43′
⚽ Ł. Teodorczyk 1–4
A. Trebel
Half-time 1–4
A. El Messaoudi 🔁
↦ U. Vitas
46′
Seth De Witte 🟨
53′
N. Pedersen 🔁
↦ S. Ganvoula
55′
2–4 N. Pedersen ⚽
F. Rherras
60′
70′
🟨 Sofiane Hanni
T. Matthys 🔁
↦ Y. Croizet
72′
74′
🔁 N. Stanciu
↦ S. Hanni
79′
🟨 Frank Boeckx
83′
🟨 Leander Dendoncker
85′
🔁 A. Chipciu
↦ P. Gerkens
90′
🟨 Nicolae Stanciu
3–4 B. Bandé ⚽
S. De Witte
91′
92′
🔁 I. Obradović
↦ H. Onyekuru
Full-time 3–4

Line-ups

Mechelen

3-5-2
26 C. Coosemans G
4 S. De Witte D
15 E. Cocalić D
5 U. Vitas D
63 F. Rherras D
17 I. Tomečak M
11 M. Rits M
16 R. Schoofs
10 Y. Croizet M
35 S. Ganvoula F
27 B. Bandé F
Bench (7)
3 A. El Messaoudi
9 N. Pedersen
7 T. Matthys
20 D. Kolovos
22 E. Cobbaut
47 A. Kawaya
49 A. Moris

Coach: Y. Ferrera

Anderlecht

3-4-3
23 F. Boeckx G
3 O. Deschacht D
12 D. Appiah D
20 S. Kums M
94 S. Hanni M
4 K. Mbodji D
25 A. Trebel M
8 P. Gerkens M
32 L. Dendoncker M
91 Ł. Teodorczyk F
9 H. Onyekuru F
Bench (7)
10 N. Stanciu
11 A. Chipciu
37 I. Obradović
2 Josué Sá
99 H. Harbaoui
1 M. Sels
17 M. Bruno

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
–
O3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

Jonathan Lardot · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.