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Referee: Luc Wouters

Royal Excel Mouscron

S U S T S

2–2

Full-time

Mechelen

T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron Mechelen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,0

Scored

2,0

0,8

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,3

This season — Pro League · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 38%

63%

13%

Points per game

2,0

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

63%

25%

Both score Ø 69%

75%

63%

Average goals

3,5

2,3

Scored

1,9

1,0

Conceded

1,6

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

0 Corners 9

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 2. · Mechelen 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Waregem	8	5	1	2	+11	16
2	Royal Excel Mouscron	8	5	1	2	+2	16
3	St Truiden	9	5	1	3	+0	16
4	Club Brugge	6	5	0	1	+9	15
5	Antwerp	8	4	3	1	+4	15
6	Charleroi	5	4	1	0	+6	13
7	Anderlecht	6	3	2	1	+2	11
8	Beveren	8	2	3	3	+4	9
9	Genk	6	2	3	1	+2	9
10	Kortrijk	8	2	3	3	-3	9
11	Mechelen	8	1	4	3	-2	7
12	Lokeren	8	2	1	5	-5	7
13	Standard	5	1	2	2	-4	5
14	Eupen	9	1	2	6	-15	5
15	Gent	6	1	1	4	-2	4
16	Oostende	8	0	2	6	-9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Truiden	5	4	0	1	+3	12
2	Royal Excel Mouscron	4	3	0	1	+0	9
3	Waregem	4	2	1	1	+2	7
4	Charleroi	3	2	1	0	+2	7
5	Club Brugge	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Mechelen	5	1	3	1	+1	6
7	Anderlecht	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Antwerp	4	1	2	1	+1	5
9	Genk	3	1	2	0	+1	5
10	Kortrijk	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Eupen	5	1	2	2	-5	5
12	Beveren	4	1	1	2	+2	4
13	Lokeren	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Standard	2	1	0	1	-3	3
15	Gent	2	0	0	2	-2	0
16	Oostende	4	0	0	4	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Antwerp	4	3	1	0	+3	10
2	Waregem	4	3	0	1	+9	9
3	Club Brugge	4	3	0	1	+5	9
4	Royal Excel Mouscron	4	2	1	1	+2	7
5	Charleroi	2	2	0	0	+4	6
6	Beveren	4	1	2	1	+2	5
7	Anderlecht	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Genk	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Gent	4	1	1	2	+0	4
10	Kortrijk	4	1	1	2	-3	4
11	St Truiden	4	1	1	2	-3	4
12	Lokeren	4	1	0	3	-2	3
13	Standard	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Oostende	4	0	2	2	-2	2
15	Mechelen	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	Eupen	4	0	0	4	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.