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Gent

S S S S S

1–3

Full-time

Charleroi

U S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Charleroi

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,2

Scored

2,5

1,3

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,5

This season — Pro League · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,3

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

56%

33%

Both score Ø 56%

67%

44%

Average goals

2,7

2,0

Scored

1,9

1,1

Conceded

0,8

0,9

Goal diff per game

+1,1

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Gent 3. · Charleroi 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Oostende	10	7	3	0	+14	24
2	Club Brugge	10	7	1	2	+17	22
3	Gent	9	6	3	0	+10	21
4	Anderlecht	10	6	3	1	+9	21
5	St Truiden	12	6	1	5	+1	19
6	Waregem	10	5	2	3	+5	17
7	Genk	9	5	0	4	-1	15
8	Charleroi	9	3	4	2	+2	13
9	Royal Excel Mouscron	12	3	4	5	-2	13
10	Beveren	12	4	1	7	-9	13
11	Standard	12	4	1	7	-11	13
12	Kortrijk	11	2	6	3	-1	12
13	Mechelen	12	3	3	6	-5	12
14	Westerlo	15	2	6	7	-11	12
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	15	3	3	9	-12	12
16	Lokeren	12	3	1	8	-6	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	5	5	0	0	+16	15
2	Oostende	5	5	0	0	+9	15
3	Anderlecht	5	4	1	0	+5	13
4	St Truiden	6	4	1	1	+3	13
5	Genk	6	4	0	2	+1	12
6	Waregem	4	3	1	0	+8	10
7	Mechelen	5	3	1	1	+4	10
8	Charleroi	7	2	4	1	+3	10
9	Kortrijk	6	2	4	0	+2	10
10	Standard	7	3	1	3	+0	10
11	Gent	3	2	1	0	+4	7
12	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	7	2	1	4	-4	7
13	Royal Excel Mouscron	6	1	3	2	-2	6
14	Westerlo	7	1	2	4	-8	5
15	Beveren	6	1	1	4	-7	4
16	Lokeren	5	0	0	5	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Gent	6	4	2	0	+6	14
2	Lokeren	7	3	1	3	-1	10
3	Oostende	5	2	3	0	+5	9
4	Beveren	6	3	0	3	-2	9
5	Anderlecht	5	2	2	1	+4	8
6	Club Brugge	5	2	1	2	+1	7
7	Royal Excel Mouscron	6	2	1	3	+0	7
8	Westerlo	8	1	4	3	-3	7
9	Waregem	6	2	1	3	-3	7
10	St Truiden	6	2	0	4	-2	6
11	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	8	1	2	5	-8	5
12	Charleroi	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Genk	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Standard	5	1	0	4	-11	3
15	Kortrijk	5	0	2	3	-3	2
16	Mechelen	7	0	2	5	-9	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.