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Pro League
Referee: Bart Vertenten
Gent
S T S S T
0–0
Full-time
Genk
S S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,2
This season — Pro League · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 48%
52%
43%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
48%
48%
Both score Ø 55%
48%
61%
Average goals
2,6
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
0,9
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Gent 4. · Genk 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 23 17 3 3 +27 54
2 Anderlecht 23 15 4 4 +14 49
3 Kortrijk 30 12 6 12 +3 42
4 Gent 23 12 5 6 +18 41
5 Antwerp 30 10 11 9 -2 41
6 Genk 23 10 9 4 +11 39
7 Standard 23 11 6 6 +6 39
8 Waregem 30 11 4 15 -5 37
9 St Truiden 30 9 10 11 -12 37
10 Charleroi 23 9 9 5 +10 36
11 Oostende 30 10 6 14 +1 36
12 Beveren 30 9 8 13 -1 35
13 Lokeren 30 8 7 15 -16 31
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 30 8 6 16 -19 30
15 Eupen 30 6 9 15 -17 27
16 Mechelen 30 6 9 15 -18 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Genk
43′
🔁 B. Nastić
↦ J. Uronen
Half-time 0–0
S. Kalu 🔁
↦ R. Janga
46′
F. Andrijašević 🔁
↦ B. Dejaegere
46′
65′
🔁 N. Karelis
↦ M. Samatta
G. Chakvetadze 🔁
↦ A. Christiansen
80′
85′
🔁 T. Buffel
↦ D. NDongala
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Gent

91 L. Kalinić
21 N. Asare
2 S. Gigot
22 D. Bronn
8 A. Christiansen
19 B. Dejaegere
6 B. Verstraete
32 T. Foket
14 R. Janga
17 R. Yaremchuk
27 M. Simon
Bench (8)
18 S. Kalu
23 F. Andrijašević
7 G. Chakvetadze
4 S. Rosted
9 M. Sylla
20 Y. Thoelen
29 T. De Smet
31 Y. Kubo

Coach: Y. Vanderhaeghe

Genk

1 D. Vuković
21 J. Uronen
15 O. Colley
45 J. Aidoo
24 Pozuelo
17 I. Seck
18 R. Malinovskiy
31 J. Mæhle
14 L. Trossard
10 M. Samatta
77 D. N'Dongala
Bench (9)
3 B. Nastić
7 N. Karelis
19 T. Buffel
4 D. Wouters
6 S. Dewaest
8 E. Zhegrova
9 M. Ingvartsen
22 S. Schrijvers
30 N. Jackers

Coach: P. Clement

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Bart Vertenten · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.