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Pro League
Referee: Wim Smet
Anderlecht
T T S S S
0–2
Full-time
Gent
U S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,8
3,2
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
1,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
This season — Pro League · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 58%
65%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
70%
55%
Both score Ø 60%
65%
55%
Average goals
3,5
2,8
Scored
2,1
1,8
Conceded
1,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Anderlecht 2. · Gent 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 20 16 3 1 +28 51
2 Anderlecht 20 13 4 3 +14 43
3 Kortrijk 30 12 6 12 +3 42
4 Antwerp 30 10 11 9 -2 41
5 Waregem 30 11 4 15 -5 37
6 St Truiden 30 9 10 11 -12 37
7 Standard 21 10 6 5 +6 36
8 Oostende 30 10 6 14 +1 36
9 Gent 20 10 5 5 +16 35
10 Genk 20 9 8 3 +11 35
11 Charleroi 21 9 8 4 +11 35
12 Beveren 30 9 8 13 -1 35
13 Lokeren 30 8 7 15 -16 31
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 30 8 6 16 -19 30
15 Eupen 30 6 9 15 -17 27
16 Mechelen 30 6 9 15 -18 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Anderlecht Gent
Half-time 0–1
47′
B. Dejaegere 0–1
72′
🔁 G. Chakvetadze
↦ M. Simon
S. Ganvoula 🔁
↦ Josué Sá
78′
79′
🔁 Y. Kubo
↦ B. Dejaegere
L. Marković 🔁
↦ A. Saelemaekers
81′
86′
Y. Kubo 0–2
90′
🔁 S. Rosted
↦ B. Verstraete
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Anderlecht

1 M. Sels
37 I. Obradović
2 Josué Sá
5 U. Spajić
20 S. Kums
10 R. Morioka
15 K. Saief
8 P. Gerkens
32 L. Dendoncker
56 A. Saelemaekers
91 Ł. Teodorczyk
Bench (7)
35 S. Ganvoula
50 L. Marković
11 A. Chipciu
30 B. de Jong
40 F. Amuzu
47 A. Dante
48 A. Lokonga

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Gent

91 L. Kalinić
21 N. Asare
2 S. Gigot
22 D. Bronn
19 B. Dejaegere
6 B. Verstraete
32 T. Foket
44 A. Esiti
14 R. Janga
27 M. Simon
18 S. Kalu
Bench (7)
7 G. Chakvetadze
31 Y. Kubo
4 S. Rosted
9 M. Sylla
20 Y. Thoelen
23 F. Andrijašević
29 T. De Smet

Coach: Y. Vanderhaeghe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Wim Smet · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.