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Pro League
Referee: Wim Smet
Gent
S S U U S
2–2
Full-time
Mechelen
T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Mechelen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,3
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 34%
50%
17%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,8
0,5
Conceded
0,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-1,2
This season — Pro League · 17/26 matches
Win Ø 36%
53%
19%
Points per game
1,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
47%
35%
Both score Ø 45%
47%
42%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
1,8
0,9
Conceded
0,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,9
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

61% Possession 39%
10 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 1
2 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gent 8. · Mechelen 15. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 18 14 3 1 +26 45
2 Kortrijk 27 11 6 10 +3 39
3 Antwerp 27 9 11 7 +1 38
4 St Truiden 27 9 9 9 -9 36
5 Anderlecht 17 10 4 3 +10 34
6 Beveren 26 9 7 10 +3 34
7 Charleroi 17 9 6 2 +14 33
8 Gent 17 9 4 4 +16 31
9 Waregem 27 9 4 14 -7 31
10 Oostende 27 8 6 13 -1 30
11 Genk 18 7 8 3 +6 29
12 Royal Excel Mouscron 26 8 5 13 -12 29
13 Lokeren 27 7 7 13 -14 28
14 Standard 18 7 6 5 +3 27
15 Mechelen 26 5 7 14 -19 22
16 Eupen 27 4 9 14 -20 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

12. Aug -17 Mechelen – Gent 1–1 12. Mar -17 Gent – Mechelen 3–0 30. Oct -16 Mechelen – Gent 2–0 26. Dec -15 Mechelen – Gent 2–0 29. Aug -15 Gent – Mechelen 2–2

Match report

Gent Mechelen
2′
⚽ C. Tainmont 0–1
M. Rits
19′
⚽ M. Rits 0–2
21′
🟨 Yacouba Sylla
32′
🟨 Boureima Hassane Bande
Half-time 0–2
G. Chakvetadze 🔁
↦ D. Machado
46′
Brecht Dejaegere 🟨
52′
1–2 R. Janga ⚽
S. Kalu
57′
64′
🔁 F. Camus
↦ T. Matthys
2–2 R. Yaremchuk ⚽
S. Gigot
72′
77′
🟨 Clement Tainmont
79′
🔁 A. Ouattara
↦ C. Tainmont
87′
🔁 N. Pedersen
↦ H. Bandé
M. Sylla 🔁
↦ Y. Kubo
88′
Samuel Kalu 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Gent

4-3-3
91 L. Kalinić G
2 S. Gigot D
11 D. Machado D
22 D. Bronn D
23 F. Andrijašević M
19 B. Dejaegere M
32 T. Foket M
14 R. Janga F
31 Y. Kubo F
17 R. Yaremchuk F
18 S. Kalu F
Bench (7)
7 G. Chakvetadze
9 M. Sylla
4 S. Rosted
5 N. Dussenne
20 Y. Thoelen
28 A. Koita
29 T. De Smet

Coach: Y. Vanderhaeghe

Mechelen

4-2-3-1
26 C. Coosemans G
18 M. Bagayoko D
15 E. Cocalić D
6 G. Mera D
3 A. El Messaoudi D
22 E. Cobbaut D
7 T. Matthys M
21 C. Tainmont M
11 M. Rits M
40 Y. Sylla M
27 H. Bandé F
Bench (7)
28 F. Camus
41 A. Ouattara
9 N. Pedersen
19 F. Bećiraj
2 L. Paulussen
30 H. Smolders
49 A. Moris

Coach: D. van Wijk

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Wim Smet · 67 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.