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Pro League
Referee: Sebastien Delferiere
Club Brugge
U S U S S
1–0
Full-time
Genk
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Club Brugge Genk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
67%
83%
Points per game
2,3
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,5
Scored
2,2
2,0
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,5
This season — Pro League · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 63%
80%
45%
Points per game
2,6
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
80%
50%
Both score Ø 68%
70%
65%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
2,5
1,8
Conceded
1,1
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,4
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Club Brugge 1. · Genk 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 20 16 3 1 +28 51
2 Anderlecht 21 13 4 4 +12 43
3 Kortrijk 30 12 6 12 +3 42
4 Antwerp 30 10 11 9 -2 41
5 Gent 21 11 5 5 +18 38
6 Waregem 30 11 4 15 -5 37
7 St Truiden 30 9 10 11 -12 37
8 Standard 21 10 6 5 +6 36
9 Oostende 30 10 6 14 +1 36
10 Genk 20 9 8 3 +11 35
11 Charleroi 21 9 8 4 +11 35
12 Beveren 30 9 8 13 -1 35
13 Lokeren 30 8 7 15 -16 31
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 30 8 6 16 -19 30
15 Eupen 30 6 9 15 -17 27
16 Mechelen 30 6 9 15 -18 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Club Brugge Genk
Half-time 0–0
L. Refaelov 🔁
↦ Abdoulay Diaby
64′
E. Dennis 🔁
↦ Wesley
64′
77′
🔁 D. N'Dongala
↦ L. Trossard
81′
🔁 T. Buffel
↦ Pozuelo
1–0 L. Refaelov
93′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Club Brugge

32 K. Vermeer
24 S. Denswil
15 M. Mitrović
44 B. Mechele
21 D. Cools
25 R. Vormer
20 H. Vanaken
30 M. Nakamba
10 Abdoulay Diaby
17 A. Limbombe
7 Wesley
Bench (7)
8 L. Refaelov
42 E. Dennis
1 V. Gabulov
3 T. Simons
6 J. Clasie
19 T. Vlietinck
96 A. Touba

Coach: I. Leko

Genk

1 D. Vuković
21 J. Uronen
15 O. Colley
4 D. Wouters
45 J. Aidoo
24 Pozuelo
17 I. Seck
18 R. Malinovskiy
27 Clinton Mata
14 L. Trossard
10 M. Samatta
Bench (7)
77 D. N'Dongala
19 T. Buffel
6 S. Dewaest
7 N. Karelis
22 S. Schrijvers
30 N. Jackers
31 J. Mæhle

Coach: P. Clement

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Sebastien Delferiere · 41 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
15,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.