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Pro League
Genk
U T T S S
4–2
Full-time
Club Brugge
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Club Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
3,0
2,3
Scored
2,2
2,2
Conceded
0,8
0,2
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+2,0
This season — Pro League · 21/23 matches
Win Ø 68%
57%
78%
Points per game
1,9
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
57%
61%
Both score Ø 46%
48%
43%
Average goals
2,7
3,0
Scored
1,7
2,3
Conceded
1,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Genk 4. · Club Brugge 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 23 18 1 4 +39 55
2 Gent 23 14 6 3 +24 48
3 Anderlecht 23 14 6 3 +17 48
4 Genk 21 12 3 6 +14 39
5 Oostende 24 11 6 7 +7 39
6 Mechelen 27 10 6 11 -3 36
7 Standard 27 11 3 13 -14 36
8 Waregem 24 9 6 9 +5 33
9 Charleroi 23 8 6 9 -1 30
10 Kortrijk 25 7 9 9 -6 30
11 Royal Excel Mouscron 27 7 9 11 -7 30
12 Lokeren 27 8 6 13 -7 30
13 Westerlo 30 7 9 14 -24 30
14 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 30 7 8 15 -11 29
15 St Truiden 27 8 3 16 -15 27
16 Beveren 27 7 5 15 -18 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genk Club Brugge
1–0 O. Ndidi
15′
20′
🔁 B. Mechele
↦ B. Poulain
2–0 Pozuelo
T. Buffel
42′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 T. Meunier
own goal
46′
68′
🔁 Felipe Gedoz
↦ H. Vanaken
3–1 J. Uronen
R. Malinovskiy
73′
N. Karelis 🔁
↦ M. Samatta
74′
77′
🔁 Claudemir
↦ Wesley
80′
R. Vormer 3–2
J. Vossen
B. Kumordzi 🔁
↦ Pozuelo
82′
84′
T. Meunier 3–3
N. Kebano 🔁
↦ L. Bailey
86′
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Genk

1 M. Bizot
27 C. Kabasele
6 S. Dewaest
21 J. Uronen
41 T. Castagne
25 O. Ndidi
24 Pozuelo
18 R. Malinovskiy
19 T. Buffel
77 M. Samatta
31 L. Bailey
Bench (7)
7 N. Karelis
8 B. Kumordzi
92 N. Kebano
4 B. Hamalainen
5 S. Walsh
11 I. de Camargo
26 L. Köteles

Club Brugge

1 L. Butelle
5 B. Poulain
28 L. De Bock
19 T. Meunier
24 S. Denswil
25 R. Vormer
3 T. Simons
20 H. Vanaken
9 J. Vossen
22 J. Izquierdo
7 Wesley
Bench (7)
44 B. Mechele
18 Felipe Gedoz
6 Claudemir
2 D. De fauw
8 L. Refaelov
10 A. Diaby
16 S. Bruzzese

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.