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Pro League
Referee: Alexandre Boucaut
Genk
T U T S S
1–1
Full-time
St Truiden
U U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk St Truiden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,2
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
This season — Pro League · 15/23 matches
Win Ø 34%
33%
35%
Points per game
1,5
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
53%
35%
Both score Ø 63%
73%
52%
Average goals
3,1
2,6
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
9 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 7
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 15
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genk 13. · St Truiden 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 17 14 2 1 +26 44
2 Antwerp 24 9 10 5 +6 37
3 Anderlecht 14 10 3 1 +13 33
4 Charleroi 16 9 5 2 +14 32
5 St Truiden 23 8 8 7 -5 32
6 Beveren 24 8 6 10 +2 30
7 Kortrijk 24 8 6 10 -4 30
8 Royal Excel Mouscron 24 8 5 11 -10 29
9 Gent 15 8 3 4 +13 27
10 Waregem 24 8 3 13 -6 27
11 Oostende 23 7 4 12 -2 25
12 Lokeren 23 6 6 11 -11 24
13 Genk 15 5 7 3 +3 22
14 Standard 16 5 6 5 -1 21
15 Eupen 24 4 8 12 -18 20
16 Mechelen 24 4 6 14 -20 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genk St Truiden
12′
🟨 Samuel Asamoah
33′
🟨 Jordan Botaka
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 J. Legear
↦ J. Botaka
D. Vanzeir 🔁
↦ M. Ingvartsen
56′
Ruslan Malinovsky 🟨
63′
T. Buffel 🔁
↦ S. Schrijvers
63′
69′
🔁 A. De Sart
↦ R. Bezus
69′
🔁 Y. Boli
↦ Vetokele
1–0 R. Malinovskiy
74′
79′
Y. Boli 1–1
S. Kitsiou
M. Samatta 🔁
↦ E. Zhegrova
83′
88′
🟨 Yohan Boli
90′
🟨 Alexis De Sart
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Genk

4-3-3
1 D. Vuković G
21 J. Uronen D
15 O. Colley D
45 J. Aidoo D
24 Pozuelo M
17 I. Seck M
18 R. Malinovskiy M
31 J. Mæhle M
22 S. Schrijvers F
9 M. Ingvartsen F
8 E. Zhegrova F
Bench (7)
16 D. Vanzeir
19 T. Buffel
10 M. Samatta
3 B. Nastić
4 D. Wouters
6 S. Dewaest
30 N. Jackers

Coach: P. Clement

St Truiden

4-2-3-1
1 K. Steppe G
23 S. Kotysch D
26 Jorge Teixeira D
20 D. Dussaut D
15 S. Kitsiou D
6 S. De Petter M
10 R. Bezus M
24 C. De Norre D
14 Vetokele F
7 J. Botaka F
12 S. Asamoah M
Bench (7)
27 J. Legear
5 A. De Sart
11 Y. Boli
21 L. Pirard
25 K. Abrahams
28 D. Goutas
29 E. Acolatse

Coach: Tintín Márquez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Alexandre Boucaut · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.