← Match Finder
Primeira Liga
Referee: Hugo Miguel
Belenenses
S S U U T
2–0
Full-time
Porto
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Belenenses Porto
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,3
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
3,5
Scored
1,0
2,8
Conceded
1,2
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+2,2
This season — Primeira Liga · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 54%
26%
81%
Points per game
1,1
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
37%
63%
Both score Ø 39%
37%
41%
Average goals
2,2
3,1
Scored
0,9
2,6
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+2,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

33% Possession 67%
4 Shots 31
3 Shots on target 7
0 Blocked shots 10
7 Goalkeeper saves 1
0 Corners 9
2 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Belenenses 12. · Porto 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 28 22 5 1 +57 71
2 Porto 27 22 4 1 +56 70
3 Sp Lisbon 28 20 5 3 +35 65
4 Sp Braga 28 21 1 6 +39 64
5 Rio Ave 28 13 4 11 +0 43
6 Maritimo 28 12 6 10 -8 42
7 Boavista 28 11 4 13 -9 37
8 Chaves 28 10 6 12 -12 36
9 Portimonense 28 9 7 12 -6 34
10 Guimaraes 28 10 3 15 -16 33
11 Tondela 28 8 6 14 -9 30
12 Belenenses 27 7 8 12 -13 29
13 Vitoria Setubal 28 6 10 12 -16 28
14 Pacos Ferreira 28 7 7 14 -17 28
15 Aves 28 6 7 15 -14 25
16 Moreirense 28 6 7 15 -18 25
17 Feirense 28 7 2 19 -17 23
18 Estoril 28 6 4 18 -32 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Belenenses Porto
1–0 Nathan
10′
45′
🟨 Felipe
Half-time 1–0
56′
🔁 Paulinho
↦ M. Pereira
56′
🔁 Gonçalo Paciência
↦ V. Aboubakar
57′
🟨 Ricardo Pereira
Maurides 🔁
↦ Nathan
66′
2–0 Maurides
Fredy
70′
72′
🔁 Danilo Pereira
↦ Y. Osorio
Nuno Tomás 🔁
↦ M. Bakić
73′
André Moreira 🟨
74′
Geraldes 🔁
↦ Fredy
84′
90′
🟨 Yacine Brahimi
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Belenenses

3-4-1-2
95 André Moreira G
3 R. Åhman-Persson M
6 V. Sasso D
29 F. Hanin D
37 Gonçalo Silva D
23 H. Yebda M
88 M. Bakić M
14 Licá F
12 Fredy F
10 Diogo Viana M
19 Nathan M
Bench (7)
16 Maurides
25 Nuno Tomás
18 Geraldes
1 Muriel
13 Yazalde
17 Bruno Pereirinha
21 Benny

Coach: Silas

Porto

4-4-2
1 Casillas G
2 M. Pereira D
13 Alex Telles D
28 Felipe D
21 Ricardo Pereira D
4 Y. Osorio D
16 H. Herrera M
27 Sérgio Oliveira M
8 Y. Brahimi M
29 Tiquinho F
9 V. Aboubakar F
Bench (7)
6 Paulinho
14 Gonçalo Paciência
22 Danilo Pereira
10 Óliver Torres
23 D. Reyes
26 Vaná
30 Diogo Dalot

Coach: Sérgio Conceição

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Hugo Miguel · 125 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
31,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.