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Pro League
Referee: Eric Lambrechts
Anderlecht
T T S S S
2–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Royal Excel Mouscron
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,8
3,3
Scored
2,2
0,8
Conceded
1,7
2,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,7
This season — Pro League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
100%
33%
Average goals
5,0
1,7
Scored
3,7
0,3
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+2,3
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

67% Possession 33%
14 Shots 6
7 Shots on target 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
11 Corners 5
14 Free kicks against 18
1 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Anderlecht 1. · Royal Excel Mouscron 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Anderlecht 3 3 0 0 +7 9
2 Club Brugge 3 3 0 0 +7 9
3 Genk 3 2 1 0 +6 7
4 Antwerp 3 2 1 0 +2 7
5 Waregem 3 1 2 0 +4 5
6 Cercle Brugge 3 1 2 0 +1 5
7 Gent 2 1 1 0 +3 4
8 Charleroi 3 1 0 2 +1 3
9 St Truiden 3 0 3 0 +0 3
10 Oostende 3 1 0 2 -4 3
11 Standard 2 0 2 0 +0 2
12 Beveren 3 0 2 1 -3 2
13 Lokeren 3 0 1 2 -5 1
14 Kortrijk 3 0 1 2 -6 1
15 Royal Excel Mouscron 3 0 0 3 -3 0
16 Eupen 3 0 0 3 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Anderlecht Royal Excel Mouscron
20′
🟨 Luca Napoleone
34′
🟨 Selim Amallah
1–0 Adrien Trebel
38′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 Landry Dimata
Antonio Milić
63′
68′
🟨 Frantzdy Pierrot
Evgeny Makarenko 🟨
73′
76′
🔁 Yannis Mbombo
↦ Idrisa Sambu
Ryota Morioka 🔁
↦ Knowledge Musona
77′
Ognjen Vranješ 🟥
80′
Dennis Appiah 🔁
↦ Francis Amuzu
83′
84′
🔁 Mićo Kuzmanović
↦ Alexandros Katranis
Pieter Gerkens 🔁
↦ Ivan Santini
89′
89′
🔁 Luka Lukovic
↦ Selim Amallah
90′
🟨 Benjamin van Durmen
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Anderlecht

3-4-3
16 Thomas Didillon G
45 Sebastiaan Bornauw D
55 Ognjen Vranješ D
44 Antonio Milić D
56 Alexis Saelemaekers M
25 Adrien Trebel M
5 Evgeny Makarenko M
40 Francis Amuzu F
11 Knowledge Musona F
9 Landry Dimata F
19 Ivan Santini F
Bench (9)
1 Frank Boeckx
12 Dennis Appiah
42 Hannes Delcroix
77 Kristal Abazaj
99 Zakaria Bakkali
8 Pieter Gerkens
39 Edo Kayembe
10 Ryota Morioka
48 Albert Sambi Lokonga

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Royal Excel Mouscron

4-3-3
1 Olivier Werner G
27 Mergim Vojvoda D
13 Giorgos Galitsios D
31 Bruno Godeau D
3 Alexandros Katranis D
8 Luca Napoleone M
30 Benjamin van Durmen M
99 Idrisa Sambu F
7 Fabrice Olinga F
23 Frantzdy Pierrot F
10 Selim Amallah M
Bench (8)
33 Jean Butez
28 Jeremy Huyghebaert
24 Nikola Gulan
55 Luka Lukovic
14 Sebastjan Spahiu
17 Babacar Dione
77 Mićo Kuzmanović
9 Yannis Mbombo

Coach: F. Defays

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Eric Lambrechts · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.