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Primeira Liga

Referee: Artur Soares Dias

Aves

T S S T T

2–2

Full-time

Tondela

S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aves Tondela

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

This season — Primeira Liga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

2,0

1,0

Scored

0,0

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-2,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

50% Possession 50%

16 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 9

2 Offside 0

14 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Aves 16. · Tondela 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	1	1	0	+5	3
2	Sp Braga	1	1	0	+2	3
3	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	+2	3
4	Boavista	1	1	0	+2	3
5	Vitoria Setubal	1	1	0	+2	3
6	Feirense	1	1	0	+2	3
7	Benfica	1	1	0	+1	3
8	Maritimo	1	1	0	+1	3
9	Belenenses	1	1	0	+1	3
10	Guimaraes	1	0	1	-1	0
11	Santa Clara	1	0	1	-1	0
12	Tondela	1	0	1	-1	0
13	Nacional	1	0	1	-2	0
14	Moreirense	1	0	1	-2	0
15	Portimonense	1	0	1	-2	0
16	Aves	1	0	1	-2	0
17	Rio Ave	1	0	1	-2	0
18	Chaves	1	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	1	1	0	+5	3
2	Sp Braga	1	1	0	+2	3
3	Vitoria Setubal	1	1	0	+2	3
4	Feirense	1	1	0	+2	3
5	Benfica	1	1	0	+1	3
6	Maritimo	1	1	0	+1	3
7	Tondela	1	0	1	-1	0
8	Moreirense	1	0	1	-2	0
9	Portimonense	1	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	+2	3
2	Boavista	1	1	0	+2	3
3	Belenenses	1	1	0	+1	3
4	Guimaraes	1	0	1	-1	0
5	Santa Clara	1	0	1	-1	0
6	Nacional	1	0	1	-2	0
7	Aves	1	0	1	-2	0
8	Rio Ave	1	0	1	-2	0
9	Chaves	1	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.