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Pro League
Referee: Jonathan Lardot
1–2
Full-time
Anderlecht
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron Anderlecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
0%
83%
Points per game
0,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,8
4,3
Scored
1,0
2,7
Conceded
1,8
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,0
This season — Pro League · 14/9 matches
Win Ø 52%
36%
67%
Points per game
1,4
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
57%
67%
Both score Ø 69%
71%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,6
Scored
1,5
2,1
Conceded
1,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

5 Corners 4
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 8. · Anderlecht 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 9 8 0 1 +14 24
2 St Truiden 14 7 3 4 -1 24
3 Beveren 14 6 3 5 +9 21
4 Charleroi 10 6 3 1 +7 21
5 Anderlecht 9 6 2 1 +6 20
6 Antwerp 14 5 5 4 +1 20
7 Waregem 14 6 1 7 +0 19
8 Royal Excel Mouscron 14 5 4 5 -3 19
9 Lokeren 14 4 4 6 -4 16
10 Standard 9 4 3 2 +2 15
11 Oostende 14 4 2 8 -2 14
12 Genk 9 2 6 1 +2 12
13 Gent 9 3 2 4 +3 11
14 Mechelen 15 2 5 8 -9 11
15 Kortrijk 14 2 5 7 -9 11
16 Eupen 14 2 4 8 -16 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Royal Excel Mouscron Anderlecht
M. Aidara 🔁
↦ F. Olinga
23′
42′
M. Bruno 0–1
S. Kums
Half-time 1–1
1–1 O. Govea
52′
63′
🔁 S. Hanni
↦ A. Trebel
M. Vojvoda 🔁
↦ D. Rotariu
65′
77′
🔁 R. Berič
↦ N. Stanciu
80′
H. Onyekuru 1–2
S. Hanni
Y. Mbombo 🔁
↦ J. Huyghebaert
87′
87′
🔁 D. Appiah
↦ H. Onyekuru
90′
🟨 Sven Kums
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Royal Excel Mouscron

54 L. Bailly G
28 J. Huyghebaert D
4 T. Mézague D
25 C. Diedhiou D
3 N. De Medina
11 D. Mohamed F
95 D. Rotariu F
6 O. Govea M
7 F. Olinga F
18 T. Awoniyi F
10 J. Bolingi F
Bench (7)
8 M. Aidara
27 M. Vojvoda
9 Y. Mbombo
31 B. Godeau
22 S. Locigno
30 B. Van Durmen
33 J. Butez

Coach: M. Rednic

Anderlecht

23 F. Boeckx G
3 O. Deschacht D
2 Josué Sá D
5 U. Spajić D
20 S. Kums M
10 N. Stanciu M
17 M. Bruno F
25 A. Trebel M
32 L. Dendoncker M
99 H. Harbaoui F
9 H. Onyekuru F
Bench (7)
94 S. Hanni
36 R. Berič
12 D. Appiah
47 A. Dante
11 A. Chipciu
1 M. Sels
43 K. Cools

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jonathan Lardot · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.