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Eredivisie

Referee: Jeroen Manschot

Groningen

U S U S U

0–1

Full-time

Willem II

S T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen Willem II

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,0

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

51% Possession 49%

15 Shots 7

4 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 2

5 Offside 3

18 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	De Graafschap	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	FC Emmen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	VVV Venlo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Ajax	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Excelsior	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	For Sittard	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Feyenoord	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-4	0
16	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	PSV Eindhoven	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	De Graafschap	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Ajax	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Excelsior	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Zwolle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Den Haag	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Willem II	1	0	0	1	-1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heerenveen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
2	FC Emmen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	VVV Venlo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Heracles	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	For Sittard	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Feyenoord	1	0	0	1	-2	0
7	Utrecht	1	0	0	1	-4	0
8	NAC Breda	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.