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Pro League
Referee: Nicolas Laforge
Gent
T T T U T
0–1
Full-time
Club Brugge
S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gent Club Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
0,5
2,0
Conceded
1,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+1,2
This season — Pro League · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 54%
50%
58%
Points per game
1,6
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 73%
77%
69%
Both score Ø 60%
69%
50%
Average goals
3,1
3,0
Scored
1,8
2,0
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

58% Possession 42%
11 Shots 7
5 Shots on target 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
7 Corners 5
4 Offside 4
10 Free kicks against 23
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gent 8. · Club Brugge 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 27 18 6 3 +34 60
2 Antwerp 27 17 2 8 +8 53
3 Standard 27 15 6 6 +19 51
4 Club Brugge 26 15 5 6 +27 50
5 St Truiden 30 12 11 7 +11 47
6 Anderlecht 27 13 5 9 +6 44
7 Kortrijk 30 12 7 11 +2 43
8 Gent 26 13 3 10 +12 42
9 Charleroi 30 12 6 12 +0 42
10 Royal Excel Mouscron 30 11 7 12 +0 40
11 Waregem 30 8 9 13 -11 33
12 Eupen 30 10 2 18 -23 32
13 Cercle Brugge 30 7 7 16 -24 28
14 Beveren 30 5 12 13 -13 27
15 Oostende 30 6 9 15 -23 27
16 Lokeren 30 5 5 20 -25 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gent Club Brugge
Roman Bezus 🟨
13′
16′
🟨 Sofyan Amrabat
33′
Mats Rits 0–1
Ruud Vormer
Sigurd Rosted 🟨
36′
Arnaud Souquet 🔁
↦ Sigurd Rosted
40′
45′
🟨 Benoît Poulain
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 Arnaut Groeneveld
↦ Krépin Diatta
Jean-Luc Dompe 🔁
↦ Roman Bezus
74′
Jonathan Christian David 🔁
↦ Brecht Dejaegere
77′
78′
🟨 Hans Vanaken
89′
🔁 Marvelous Nakamba
↦ Emmanuel Dennis
90′
🔁 Jelle Vossen
↦ Wesley
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Gent

4-3-3
1 Thomas Kaminski G
28 Dylan Bronn D
76 Timothy Derijck D
4 Sigurd Rosted D
21 Nana Asare D
6 Birger Verstraete M
8 Vadis Odjidja-Ofoe M
18 Roman Bezus M
19 Brecht Dejaegere M
10 Alexander Sørloth F
17 Roman Yaremchuk F
Bench (7)
20 Yannick Thoelen
2 Arnaud Souquet
5 Igor Plastun
44 Anderson Esiti
11 Jean-Luc Dompe
13 Giorgi Kvilitaia
16 Jonathan Christian David

Club Brugge

3-4-3
22 Ethan Horvath G
5 Benoît Poulain D
44 Brandon Mechele D
24 Stefano Denswil D
42 Emmanuel Dennis F
6 Sofyan Amrabat M
26 Mats Rits M
11 Krépin Diatta F
25 Ruud Vormer M
7 Wesley F
20 Hans Vanaken M
Bench (9)
1 Karlo Letica
21 Dion Cools
35 Saulo Decarli
4 Luan Peres
18 Marvelous Nakamba
47 Arnaut Groeneveld
80 Loïs Openda
16 Siebe Schrijvers
9 Jelle Vossen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Nicolas Laforge · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.