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Pro League
Referee: Alexandre Boucaut
Standard
S T T T T
2–0
Full-time
Club Brugge
T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Standard Club Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
4,0
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
2,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,8
This season — Pro League · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 58%
54%
61%
Points per game
1,8
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
71%
68%
Both score Ø 57%
64%
50%
Average goals
3,1
3,0
Scored
1,9
2,0
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

3 Corners 14
3 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Standard 4. · Club Brugge 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 28 18 6 4 +33 60
2 Club Brugge 28 17 5 6 +29 56
3 Antwerp 28 17 3 8 +8 54
4 Standard 28 15 6 7 +18 51
5 St Truiden 30 12 11 7 +11 47
6 Gent 28 14 3 11 +12 45
7 Anderlecht 28 13 6 9 +6 45
8 Kortrijk 30 12 7 11 +2 43
9 Charleroi 30 12 6 12 +0 42
10 Royal Excel Mouscron 30 11 7 12 +0 40
11 Waregem 30 8 9 13 -11 33
12 Eupen 30 10 2 18 -23 32
13 Cercle Brugge 30 7 7 16 -24 28
14 Beveren 30 5 12 13 -13 27
15 Oostende 30 6 9 15 -23 27
16 Lokeren 30 5 5 20 -25 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Standard Club Brugge
Collins Fai 🟥
30′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 Loïs Openda
↦ Sofyan Amrabat
Mehdi Carcela-González 🔁
↦ Maxime Lestienne
63′
1–0 Răzvan Marin
68′
Răzvan Marin 🟨
70′
Paul-José Mpoku 🔁
↦ Samuel Bastien
72′
73′
🔁 Arnaut Groeneveld
↦ Emmanuel Dennis
76′
🔁 Siebe Schrijvers
↦ Mats Rits
Obbi Oulare 🟨
77′
Reginal Goreux 🟨
85′
88′
🟨 Brandon Mechele
2–0 Răzvan Marin
89′
Sebastien Pocognoli 🔁
↦ Obbi Oulare
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Standard

4-2-3-1
13 Guillermo Ochoa G
2 Reginal Goreux D
6 Miloš Kosanović D
34 Konstantinos Laifis D
21 Collins Fai D
18 Răzvan Marin M
8 Gojko Cimirot M
22 Maxime Lestienne M
77 Samuel Bastien M
12 Senna Miangue M
17 Obbi Oulare F
Bench (10)
1 Jean-Francois Gillet
15 Sebastien Pocognoli
29 Luis Pedro Cavanda
31 William Balikwisha
24 Nicolas Raskin
11 Alen Halilović
40 Paul-José Mpoku
9 Renaud Emond
32 Joachim Carcela Gonzalez
30 Hady Sangare

Club Brugge

3-4-3
22 Ethan Horvath G
77 Clinton Mata D
44 Brandon Mechele D
24 Stefano Denswil D
42 Emmanuel Dennis F
26 Mats Rits M
6 Sofyan Amrabat M
11 Krépin Diatta F
25 Ruud Vormer M
7 Wesley F
20 Hans Vanaken M
Bench (9)
1 Karlo Letica
35 Saulo Decarli
5 Benoît Poulain
4 Luan Peres
18 Marvelous Nakamba
9 Jelle Vossen
16 Siebe Schrijvers
80 Loïs Openda
47 Arnaut Groeneveld

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Alexandre Boucaut · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.