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La Liga
Referee: Ignacio Iglesias Villanueva
Ath Madrid
S S S T S
2–0
Full-time
Girona
U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Girona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
0,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,5
This season — La Liga · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 44%
59%
28%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
24%
41%
Both score Ø 43%
34%
52%
Average goals
2,1
2,4
Scored
1,5
1,1
Conceded
0,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

48% Possession 52%
17 Shots 12
7 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 3
2 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ath Madrid 2. · Girona 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 29 21 6 2 +48 69
2 Ath Madrid 29 17 8 4 +24 59
3 Real Madrid 29 18 3 8 +18 57
4 Getafe 29 12 10 7 +10 46
5 Alaves 29 12 8 9 -4 44
6 Sevilla 29 12 7 10 +10 43
7 Valencia 29 9 16 4 +8 43
8 Ath Bilbao 29 9 13 7 -2 40
9 Betis 29 11 7 11 -4 40
10 Sociedad 29 9 10 10 +0 37
11 Eibar 29 8 12 9 -2 36
12 Leganes 29 9 9 11 -5 36
13 Girona 29 8 10 11 -7 34
14 Espanol 29 9 7 13 -11 34
15 Levante 29 8 8 13 -11 32
16 Valladolid 29 7 9 13 -16 30
17 Villarreal 29 6 11 12 -5 29
18 Celta 29 7 7 15 -10 28
19 Vallecano 29 6 6 17 -21 24
20 Huesca 29 5 7 17 -20 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ath Madrid Girona
Half-time 0–0
Santiago Arias 🟨
48′
Á. Correa 🔁
↦ T. Partey
56′
Vitolo 🔁
↦ Filipe Luis
65′
69′
🔁 A. Lozano
↦ Portu
1–0 D. Godín
76′
78′
🔁 P. Roberts
↦ S. Doumbia
84′
🔁 Valery
↦ Pere Pons
Juanfran 🔁
↦ Álvaro Morata
85′
2–0 A. Griezmann
Vitolo
94′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Ath Madrid

3-1-4-2
13 J. Oblak G
3 Filipe Luis D
2 D. Godín D
4 S. Arias D
24 J. Giménez D
8 Saúl M
6 Koke M
5 T. Partey M
14 Rodri Hernández M
7 A. Griezmann F
22 Álvaro Morata F
Bench (7)
10 Á. Correa
23 Vitolo
20 Juanfran
1 Adán
9 N. Kalinić
15 S. Savić
55 Sergio Camello

Coach: D. Simeone

Girona

4-1-4-1
1 Iraizoz G
2 B. Espinosa D
5 Alcalá D
20 Muniesa D
10 Borja García F
9 Portu F
8 Pere Pons M
23 Aleix García M
12 Douglas Luiz M
24 Pedro Porro M
22 S. Doumbia F
Bench (7)
19 A. Lozano
17 P. Roberts
34 Valery
6 Álex Granell
21 Planas
30 José Aurelio
4 Ramalho

Coach: Eusebio Sacristán

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Ignacio Iglesias Villanueva · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.