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Pro League
Referee: Bert Put
Genk
S S T S U
1–0
Full-time
Lokeren
T S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Lokeren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,2
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,8
2,8
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-1,2
This season — Pro League · 18/28 matches
Win Ø 38%
61%
14%
Points per game
2,1
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
61%
61%
Both score Ø 62%
67%
57%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
2,2
0,9
Conceded
1,1
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
12 Shots 5
5 Shots on target 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 0
3 Offside 2
7 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genk 5. · Lokeren 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Truiden 28 12 10 6 +13 46
2 Antwerp 18 13 1 4 +13 40
3 Kortrijk 28 11 7 10 +2 40
4 Charleroi 28 11 6 11 +0 39
5 Genk 18 11 5 2 +21 38
6 Standard 18 10 6 2 +17 36
7 Royal Excel Mouscron 28 10 6 12 -1 36
8 Gent 18 11 2 5 +16 35
9 Club Brugge 18 10 4 4 +17 34
10 Anderlecht 18 10 4 4 +12 34
11 Waregem 28 8 7 13 -11 31
12 Eupen 28 9 2 17 -20 29
13 Cercle Brugge 28 7 7 14 -21 28
14 Oostende 28 6 9 13 -20 27
15 Beveren 28 5 11 12 -12 26
16 Lokeren 28 4 5 19 -26 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genk Lokeren
31′
🟨 Steve De Ridder
Half-time 0–0
Casper De Norre 🔁
↦ Jere Uronen
52′
Dieumerci Ndongala 🔁
↦ Junya Ito
66′
69′
🟨 Dylan Mbayo
71′
🔁 Tracy Mpati
↦ Amine Benchaib
75′
🔁 Laurens Symons
↦ Knowledge Musona
1–0 Joakim Maehle
77′
81′
🟨 Laurens Symons
83′
🔁 Stefano Marzo
↦ Dylan Mbayo
Jakub Piotrowski 🔁
↦ Alejandro Pozuelo
88′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Genk

4-3-3
1 Danny Vukovic G
31 Joakim Maehle M
45 Joseph Aidoo D
33 Jhon Lucumi D
21 Jere Uronen D
28 Bryan Heynen M
24 Alejandro Pozuelo M
18 Ruslan Malinovskyi M
7 Junya Ito M
10 Mbwana Samatta F
14 Leandro Trossard F
Bench (9)
30 Nordin Jackers
23 Rubin Seigers
6 Sébastien Dewaest
2 Casper De Norre
11 Joseph Paintsil
19 Jakub Piotrowski
77 Dieumerci Ndongala
9 Marcus Ingvartsen
93 Zinho Gano

Lokeren

4-2-3-1
13 Davino Verhulst G
25 Mickael Tirpan D
28 Amine Benchaib M
32 Jakov Filipović D
16 Omri Ben Harush D
7 Killian Overmeire M
6 Ari Freyr Skúlason D
15 Dylan Mbayo F
23 Lukáš Mareček M
22 Steve De Ridder F
11 Knowledge Musona F
Bench (10)
12 Ortwin De Wolf
30 Robin Mantel
26 Arno Monsecour
3 Olivier Deschacht
18 Bambo Diaby
35 Tracy Mpati
2 Stefano Marzo
14 Mehdi Terki
9 Laurens Symons
77 Anton Saroka

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Bert Put · 41 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
16,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.