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Pro League
Referee: Nicolas Laforge
Waregem
T T T T U
3–1
Full-time
Standard
S T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waregem Standard
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,0
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
3,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+0,8
This season — Pro League · 12/8 matches
Win Ø 23%
8%
38%
Points per game
0,5
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 57%
75%
38%
Average goals
4,1
1,9
Scored
1,4
1,3
Conceded
2,7
0,6
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

42% Possession 58%
12 Shots 5
10 Shots on target 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 7
6 Corners 8
3 Offside 2
11 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Waregem 16. · Standard 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 9 7 2 0 +19 23
2 Genk 9 7 2 0 +17 23
3 Antwerp 9 7 1 1 +8 22
4 Anderlecht 9 6 2 1 +11 20
5 Gent 9 6 1 2 +10 19
6 St Truiden 13 4 6 3 +2 18
7 Charleroi 13 5 2 6 +0 17
8 Kortrijk 13 4 4 5 -2 16
9 Eupen 13 5 1 7 -7 16
10 Oostende 13 4 3 6 -11 15
11 Standard 8 3 4 1 +5 13
12 Cercle Brugge 13 3 4 6 -11 13
13 Beveren 13 1 8 4 -3 11
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 13 2 3 8 -10 9
15 Lokeren 13 1 4 8 -13 7
16 Waregem 12 1 3 8 -15 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Waregem Standard
23′
Maxime Lestienne 0–1
Collins Fai
1–1 Hamdi Harbaoui
Theo Bongonda
31′
Half-time 1–1
Erdin Demir 🟨
46′
Sandy Walsh 🟨
55′
59′
🟨 Răzvan Marin
60′
🔁 Mehdi Carcela-González
↦ Samuel Bastien
2–1 Hamdi Harbaoui
Mamadou Sylla
66′
3–1 Mamadou Sylla
69′
71′
🟨 Maxime Lestienne
74′
🔁 Orlando Sá
↦ Maxime Lestienne
Mamadou Sylla 🟥
80′
Thomas Buffel 🔁
↦ Hamdi Harbaoui
90′
Chris Bedia 🔁
↦ Theo Bongonda
90′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Waregem

4-4-2
1 Sammy Bossut G
2 Davy de Fauw D
4 Michael Heylen D
3 Marvin Baudry D
18 Erdin Demir D
14 Sandy Walsh D
22 Florian Tardieu M
11 Nill De Pauw F
10 Theo Bongonda M
19 Mamadou Sylla F
9 Hamdi Harbaoui F
Bench (8)
25 Louis Bostyn
23 Marco Burki
16 Urho Nissilä
8 Hicham Faik
5 Damien Marcq
12 Chris Bedia
7 Thomas Buffel
17 Mikael Soisalo

Coach: F. Dury

Standard

4-2-3-1
13 Guillermo Ochoa G
29 Luis Pedro Cavanda D
26 Christian Luyindama D
34 Konstantinos Laifis D
21 Collins Fai D
18 Răzvan Marin M
8 Gojko Cimirot M
28 Samuel Bastien M
22 Maxime Lestienne M
19 Moussa Djenepo M
9 Renaud Emond F
Bench (7)
1 Jean-Francois Gillet
2 Reginal Goreux
3 Zinho Vanheüsden
31 William Balikwisha
5 Uche Agbo
10 Mehdi Carcela-González
7 Orlando Sá

Coach: M. Preud'homme

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Nicolas Laforge · 81 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.