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Pro League
Referee: Bram Van Driessche
Charleroi
S U U S T
3–2
Full-time
Waregem
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Waregem
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,3
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
4,3
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,2
3,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-2,7
This season — Pro League · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 20%
30%
10%
Points per game
1,1
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
60%
80%
Both score Ø 70%
70%
70%
Average goals
2,7
4,0
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
1,4
2,7
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%
11 Shots 10
8 Shots on target 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
2 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Charleroi 11. · Waregem 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 9 7 2 0 +17 23
2 Club Brugge 7 6 1 0 +15 19
3 Anderlecht 7 6 1 0 +12 19
4 Antwerp 8 6 1 1 +7 19
5 St Truiden 11 4 5 2 +3 17
6 Gent 7 5 1 1 +11 16
7 Kortrijk 11 4 2 5 -2 14
8 Oostende 11 4 2 5 -7 14
9 Standard 8 3 4 1 +5 13
10 Cercle Brugge 11 3 3 5 -9 12
11 Charleroi 10 3 2 5 -1 11
12 Beveren 11 1 7 3 -2 10
13 Eupen 11 3 1 7 -10 10
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 11 1 2 8 -12 5
15 Lokeren 11 1 2 8 -13 5
16 Waregem 10 1 2 7 -14 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charleroi Waregem
14′
🟨 Theo Bongonda
1–0 Cristian Benavente
44′
45′
🟨 Marvin Baudry
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Nill De Pauw
↦ Sandy Walsh
51′
🟨 Damien Marcq
55′
🔁 Chris Bedia
↦ Erdin Demir
Stergos Marinos 🟨
65′
73′
Hamdi Harbaoui 1–1
Ali Gholizadeh 🔁
↦ Gaetan Hendrickx
75′
Jérémy Perbet 🔁
↦ Adama Niane
79′
83′
Hamdi Harbaoui 1–2
David Henen 🔁
↦ Massimo Bruno
84′
2–2 Victor Osimhen
86′
David Henen 🟨
86′
3–2 Victor Osimhen
Cristian Benavente
90′
90′
🔁 Florian Tardieu
↦ Thomas Buffel
Full-time 3–2

Line-ups

Charleroi

4-2-3-1
1 Nicolas Penneteau G
17 Stergos Marinos D
8 Martos D
24 Dorian Dessoleil D
25 Núrio D
22 Gaetan Hendrickx M
13 Christophe Diandy M
77 Massimo Bruno F
14 Cristian Benavente M
9 Adama Niane F
45 Victor Osimhen F
Bench (8)
69 Rémy Riou
4 Maxime Busi
5 Dorian Dervite
23 Steeven Willems
88 Ali Gholizadeh
29 Romain Grange
39 David Henen
10 Jérémy Perbet

Coach: F. Mazzù

Waregem

4-2-3-1
1 Sammy Bossut G
2 Davy de Fauw D
4 Michael Heylen D
3 Marvin Baudry D
18 Erdin Demir D
5 Damien Marcq M
14 Sandy Walsh D
7 Thomas Buffel F
8 Hicham Faik M
10 Theo Bongonda M
9 Hamdi Harbaoui F
Bench (7)
25 Louis Bostyn
16 Urho Nissilä
22 Florian Tardieu
12 Chris Bedia
11 Nill De Pauw
17 Mikael Soisalo
19 Mamadou Sylla

Coach: F. Dury

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Bram Van Driessche · 82 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
17,8 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.