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Pro League
Referee: Eric Lambrechts
Waregem
T T T T T
2–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waregem Royal Excel Mouscron
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
4,5
2,0
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
3,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-2,5
-1,0
This season — Pro League · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 9%
9%
9%
Points per game
0,5
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
82%
36%
Both score Ø 50%
73%
27%
Average goals
4,1
1,8
Scored
1,4
0,4
Conceded
2,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
-1,4
-1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

8 Corners 3
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Waregem 16. · Royal Excel Mouscron 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 9 7 2 0 +17 23
2 Club Brugge 7 6 1 0 +15 19
3 Gent 8 6 1 1 +12 19
4 Anderlecht 7 6 1 0 +12 19
5 Antwerp 8 6 1 1 +7 19
6 St Truiden 11 4 5 2 +3 17
7 Charleroi 12 4 2 6 -1 14
8 Kortrijk 11 4 2 5 -2 14
9 Oostende 11 4 2 5 -7 14
10 Standard 8 3 4 1 +5 13
11 Cercle Brugge 11 3 3 5 -9 12
12 Beveren 11 1 7 3 -2 10
13 Eupen 11 3 1 7 -10 10
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 11 1 2 8 -12 5
15 Lokeren 11 1 2 8 -13 5
16 Waregem 11 1 2 8 -15 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Waregem Royal Excel Mouscron
Hamdi Harbaoui 🟨
11′
0–1 Bruno Godeau
own goal
13′
1–1 Theo Bongonda
24′
29′
Frantzdy Pierrot 1–2
Hicham Faik 🟨
41′
Half-time 1–3
57′
Frantzdy Pierrot 1–3
59′
🟨 Selim Amallah
Florian Tardieu 🔁
↦ Thomas Buffel
65′
Mikael Soisalo 🔁
↦ Nill De Pauw
72′
75′
🔁 Fabrice Olinga
↦ Yannis Mbombo
85′
🟨 Frantzdy Pierrot
Mamadou Sylla 🔁
↦ Chris Bedia
85′
90′
🔁 Manuel Benson
↦ Frantzdy Pierrot
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Waregem

1 Sammy Bossut G
3 Marvin Baudry D
2 Davy de Fauw D
4 Michael Heylen D
10 Theo Bongonda M
8 Hicham Faik M
5 Damien Marcq M
7 Thomas Buffel F
11 Nill De Pauw F
9 Hamdi Harbaoui F
12 Chris Bedia F
Bench (7)
25 Louis Bostyn
23 Marco Burki
18 Erdin Demir
14 Sandy Walsh
22 Florian Tardieu
17 Mikael Soisalo
19 Mamadou Sylla

Coach: F. Dury

Royal Excel Mouscron

33 Jean Butez G
27 Mergim Vojvoda D
31 Bruno Godeau D
22 Marko Bakić M
30 Benjamin van Durmen M
10 Selim Amallah M
24 Nikola Gulan M
15 Frank Boya M
9 Yannis Mbombo F
11 Dimitri Mohamed F
23 Frantzdy Pierrot F
Bench (7)
16 Clement Libertiaux
25 Christophe Diedhiou
2 Noe Dussenne
3 Alexandros Katranis
21 Manuel Benson
28 Bilal Chibani
7 Fabrice Olinga

Coach: B. Storck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Eric Lambrechts · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.