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Pro League
Referee: Nathan Verboomen
Genk
S S S U S
4–0
Full-time
Waregem
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Waregem
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,3
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
4,3
4,5
Scored
2,8
1,5
Conceded
1,5
3,0
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-1,5
This season — Pro League · 7/8 matches
Win Ø 42%
71%
13%
Points per game
2,4
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 73%
71%
75%
Both score Ø 73%
71%
75%
Average goals
4,3
4,1
Scored
3,0
1,5
Conceded
1,3
2,6
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-1,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

12 Corners 2
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genk 1. · Waregem 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 7 5 2 0 +12 17
2 Club Brugge 5 5 0 0 +11 15
3 Gent 6 4 1 1 +7 13
4 Antwerp 6 4 1 1 +5 13
5 St Truiden 8 3 4 1 +3 13
6 Oostende 8 4 1 3 -1 13
7 Anderlecht 4 4 0 0 +9 12
8 Eupen 9 3 1 5 -8 10
9 Standard 6 2 3 1 +3 9
10 Cercle Brugge 8 2 3 3 -4 9
11 Charleroi 8 2 2 4 -1 8
12 Kortrijk 9 2 2 5 -6 8
13 Beveren 8 0 5 3 -5 5
14 Waregem 8 1 2 5 -9 5
15 Lokeren 8 1 2 5 -9 5
16 Royal Excel Mouscron 8 1 1 6 -7 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genk Waregem
28′
🟨 Damien Marcq
1–0 Alejandro Pozuelo
29′
2–0 Mbwana Samatta
31′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 Chris Bedia
↦ Nill De Pauw
46′
🔁 Michael Heylen
↦ Damien Marcq
50′
🟨 Hicham Faik
3–0 Mbwana Samatta
68′
76′
🟨 Mamadou Sylla
Bryan Heynen 🔁
↦ Sander Berge
84′
Ibrahima Seck 🔁
↦ Alejandro Pozuelo
84′
Joseph Paintsil 🔁
↦ Dieumerci Ndongala
84′
4–0 Mbwana Samatta
86′
90′
🟨 Davy de Fauw
90′
🔁 Mikael Soisalo
↦ Thomas Buffel
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Genk

1 Danny Vukovic G
21 Jere Uronen D
45 Joseph Aidoo D
6 Sébastien Dewaest D
31 Joakim Maehle M
24 Alejandro Pozuelo M
25 Sander Berge M
18 Ruslan Malinovskyi M
77 Dieumerci Ndongala F
10 Mbwana Samatta F
14 Leandro Trossard F
Bench (9)
30 Nordin Jackers
3 Bojan Nastić
33 Jhon Lucumi
4 Dries Wouters
11 Joseph Paintsil
28 Bryan Heynen
15 Ibrahima Seck
9 Marcus Ingvartsen
93 Zinho Gano

Coach: P. Clement

Waregem

1 Sammy Bossut G
3 Marvin Baudry D
14 Sandy Walsh D
2 Davy de Fauw D
24 Johan Bjørdal D
18 Erdin Demir D
5 Damien Marcq M
8 Hicham Faik M
19 Mamadou Sylla F
11 Nill De Pauw F
7 Thomas Buffel F
Bench (7)
25 Louis Bostyn
4 Michael Heylen
62 Ewoud Pletinckx
10 Theo Bongonda
12 Chris Bedia
9 Hamdi Harbaoui
17 Mikael Soisalo

Coach: F. Dury

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Nathan Verboomen · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.