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Pro League
Referee: W Alen
2–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Royal Excel Mouscron
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,8
2,8
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,8
This season — Pro League · 16/14 matches
Win Ø 32%
50%
14%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
75%
36%
Both score Ø 66%
88%
43%
Average goals
3,5
2,3
Scored
1,9
0,6
Conceded
1,6
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2 Corners 2
0 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Oud-Heverlee Leuven 4. · Royal Excel Mouscron 19.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 15 9 5 1 +17 32
2 Beerschot VA 16 10 1 5 +5 31
3 Club Brugge 15 8 4 3 +18 28
4 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 16 8 4 4 +4 28
5 Antwerp 14 7 5 2 +8 26
6 Charleroi 17 7 4 6 +4 25
7 Anderlecht 15 5 9 1 +9 24
8 Standard 14 6 6 2 +5 24
9 Eupen 17 5 9 3 -1 24
10 Kortrijk 17 6 5 6 +1 23
11 Cercle Brugge 17 7 0 10 -4 21
12 Waregem 17 6 3 8 -5 21
13 Gent 15 6 1 8 +1 19
14 Oostende 14 4 4 6 +1 16
15 Mechelen 13 4 4 5 -3 16
16 Waasland-Beveren 15 4 3 8 -9 15
17 Beveren 15 4 3 8 -9 15
18 St Truiden 17 2 6 9 -12 12
19 Royal Excel Mouscron 14 2 4 8 -14 10
20 Mouscron 15 2 4 9 -16 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oud-Heverlee Leuven Royal Excel Mouscron
30′
🟨 Fabrice Olinga
40′
🟨 Saad Agouzoul
42′
🟨 Jean Emile Junior Onana
Half-time 1–0
1–0 P. Ngawa
V. Jemelka
56′
60′
🔁 Nuno da Costa
↦ S. Tabekou
K. Malinov 🔁
↦ M. Maertens
69′
D. Vekemans 🔁
↦ Musa Al-Taamari
74′
74′
🔁 I. Faraj
↦ F. Olinga
77′
🟨 Marko Bakić
79′
🔁 C. Brym
↦ H. Gnohéré
2–0 T. Henry
X. Mercier
84′
87′
🟨 Charles-Andreas Brym
O. Myny 🔁
↦ K. Sowah
89′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

3-4-3
90 R. Romo G
23 S. Kotysch D
5 P. Ngawa D
24 C. De Norre D
2 V. Jemelka D
6 D. Hubert M
10 X. Mercier M
33 M. Maertens M
14 K. Sowah M
9 T. Henry F
13 Musa Al-Taamari M
Bench (7)
29 K. Malinov
32 D. Vekemans
22 O. Myny
21 D. Iversen
28 T. Raemaekers
15 D. Ouédraogo
26 J. Eppiah

Coach: M. Brys

Royal Excel Mouscron

4-3-3
16 H. Koffi G
26 M. Silvestre D
22 E. Bocat D
18 R. Quirynen D
5 S. Agouzoul D
10 M. Bakić M
7 F. Olinga F
23 Bruno Xadas M
8 J. Onana M
31 H. Gnohéré F
70 S. Tabekou M
Bench (7)
20 Nuno da Costa
14 I. Faraj
25 C. Brym
4 A. Gueye
13 A. Ciranni
6 D. Hočko
21 N. Gillekens

Coach: Jorge Simão

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.