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Pro League
3–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
0%
17%
Points per game
0,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
0,7
1,7
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,2
This season — Pro League · 20/26 matches
Win Ø 22%
20%
23%
Points per game
0,9
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
60%
62%
Both score Ø 61%
60%
62%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,3
1,4
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 14. · Oud-Heverlee Leuven 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 18 14 1 3 +33 43
2 Gent 17 12 3 2 +22 39
3 Oostende 18 10 5 3 +16 35
4 Anderlecht 16 10 5 1 +13 35
5 Genk 16 10 2 4 +11 32
6 Standard 21 9 1 11 -10 28
7 St Truiden 21 8 2 11 -6 26
8 Westerlo 27 6 8 13 -24 26
9 Waregem 16 7 4 5 +5 25
10 Charleroi 17 7 4 6 +1 25
11 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 26 6 7 13 -11 25
12 Mechelen 20 6 5 9 -7 23
13 Lokeren 21 5 5 11 -7 20
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 20 4 6 10 -9 18
15 Beveren 20 5 3 12 -17 18
16 Kortrijk 18 3 7 8 -10 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Royal Excel Mouscron Oud-Heverlee Leuven
13′
L. Trossard 0–1
F. Le Postollec
Half-time 0–1
56′
🔁 K. Houdret
↦ K. Ojo
D. Mohamed 🔁
↦ L. Vaccaro
65′
T. Dingome 🔁
↦ J. Michel
65′
78′
🔁 J. Kostovski
↦ Y. Croizet
1–1 E. Coulibaly
81′
F. Marković 🔁
↦ V. Viola
83′
2–1 A. Badri
88′
89′
🔁 T. Azevedo
↦ F. Le Postollec
3–1 A. Badri
E. Coulibaly
93′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Royal Excel Mouscron

86 Vagner
25 M. Oussalah
6 T. Mézague
26 L. Vaccaro
23 M. Tirpan
15 J. Castelletto
5 D. Hubert
10 J. Michel
9 A. Badri
17 E. Coulibaly
16 V. Viola
Bench (7)
11 D. Mohamed
19 T. Dingome
18 F. Marković
12 T. Rausin
13 N. Aksentijević
14 C. Kocur
24 N. Gulan

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

26 R. Riou
29 P. Monteyne
28 O. Volovyk
4 R. Reynaud
5 P. Ngawa
8 F. Le Postollec
15 J. Bostock
10 Y. Croizet
7 J. Remacle
27 K. Ojo
19 L. Trossard
Bench (7)
12 K. Houdret
23 J. Kostovski
14 T. Azevedo
1 Y. Lenaerts
17 S. Urošević
22 S. Asamoah
25 Kanu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.