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Pro League
Referee: N Laforge
Beerschot VA
S S T S T
4–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Beerschot VA Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 92%
100%
83%
Average goals
5,7
3,3
Scored
2,7
1,8
Conceded
3,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,3
This season — Pro League · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 60%
64%
55%
Points per game
1,9
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 82%
91%
73%
Both score Ø 87%
82%
91%
Average goals
4,7
3,3
Scored
2,5
1,8
Conceded
2,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

18 Shots 18
9 Shots on target 5
7 Corners 5
19 Free kicks against 11
5 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Beerschot VA 5. · Oud-Heverlee Leuven 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Anderlecht 11 5 6 0 +10 21
2 Antwerp 11 6 3 2 +7 21
3 Standard 11 6 3 2 +5 21
4 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 11 6 3 2 +4 21
5 Beerschot VA 11 7 0 4 +2 21
6 Charleroi 10 6 2 2 +8 20
7 Genk 11 5 5 1 +6 20
8 Kortrijk 12 5 2 5 +0 17
9 Club Brugge 9 5 1 3 +14 16
10 Oostende 9 4 3 2 +9 15
11 Cercle Brugge 9 5 0 4 +4 15
12 Eupen 11 3 5 3 -4 14
13 Waregem 12 4 1 7 -9 13
14 Mechelen 8 3 1 4 -3 10
15 Gent 10 3 0 7 -3 9
16 St Truiden 10 2 3 5 -8 9
17 Waasland-Beveren 8 1 1 6 -10 4
18 Beveren 8 1 1 6 -10 4
19 Mouscron 9 0 3 6 -11 3
20 Royal Excel Mouscron 9 0 3 6 -11 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Beerschot VA Oud-Heverlee Leuven
Pierre Bourdin 🟨
-5′
16′
X. Mercier 0–1
1–1 T. Tissoudali
R. Sanusi
21′
2–1 M. Suzuki
J. Dom
25′
Tom Pietermaat 🟨
32′
37′
🔁 V. Jemelka
↦ D. Tshimanga
Ismaila Cheick Coulibaly 🟨
45′
Half-time 2–1
Jan Van den Bergh 🟨
56′
3–1 R. Sanusi
R. Holzhauser
62′
63′
🔁 Musa Al-Taamari
↦ M. Maertens
4–1 R. Holzhauser
65′
Joren Dom 🟨
74′
D. Van den Buijs 🔁
↦ I. Coulibaly
75′
81′
🔁 O. Myny
↦ B. Bese
82′
T. Henry 4–2
P. Bourdin 🔁
↦ Y. Vorogovskiy
83′
87′
🟨 Václav Jemelka
D. Prychynenko 🔁
↦ R. Holzhauser
88′
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

Beerschot VA

3-5-2
31 M. Vanhamel G
4 F. Frans D
24 Y. Vorogovskiy M
2 J. Van den Bergh D
5 J. Dom D
8 R. Holzhauser M
16 T. Pietermaat M
18 R. Sanusi M
28 I. Coulibaly M
10 M. Suzuki F
34 T. Tissoudali F
Bench (7)
6 D. Van den Buijs
15 P. Bourdin
3 D. Prychynenko
1 W. Biebauw
36 S. Ceulemans
38 D. Mukuna-Trouet
27 M. Halaimia

Coach: H. Losada

Oud-Heverlee Leuven

3-4-3
90 R. Romo G
23 S. Kotysch D
19 F. Duplus D
3 D. Tshimanga D
18 B. Bese D
6 D. Hubert M
29 K. Malinov M
10 X. Mercier M
33 M. Maertens M
14 K. Sowah M
9 T. Henry F
Bench (7)
2 V. Jemelka
13 Musa Al-Taamari
22 O. Myny
32 D. Vekemans
11 T. Vlietinck
21 D. Iversen
28 T. Raemaekers

Coach: M. Brys

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,85
U
4,04
B
3,64
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,39
U2,5
2,92
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

N Laforge · 128 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.