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Eliteserien
Referee: O Nilsen
Brann
S S S S S
2–1
Full-time
Lillestrom
T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brann Lillestrom
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
100%
17%
Points per game
3,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
2,7
1,0
Conceded
0,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
+2,3
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 43%
59%
26%
Points per game
2,0
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
59%
67%
Both score Ø 54%
56%
52%
Average goals
3,0
3,1
Scored
1,9
1,1
Conceded
1,1
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,9
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,20 xG 0,49
61% Possession 39%
18 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 3
8 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 2
4 Offside 2
6 Free kicks against 20
0 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brann 2. · Lillestrom 15.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 27 16 7 4 +35 +21.2 55
2 Brann 27 16 7 4 +22 +13.7 55
3 Viking 27 14 8 5 +17 +15.5 50
4 Molde 27 14 6 7 +28 +18.1 48
5 Rosenborg 27 14 4 9 +7 +0.9 46
6 Fredrikstad 27 12 8 7 +2 +4.1 44
7 KFUM Oslo 27 8 10 9 -1 +5.4 34
8 Ham-Kam 27 8 9 10 +0 -4.3 33
9 Stromsgodset 27 8 8 11 -8 -7.2 32
10 Sarpsborg 08 27 9 5 13 -13 -4.8 32
11 Kristiansund 27 7 10 10 -9 -10.6 31
12 Tromso 27 8 6 13 -9 -12.3 30
13 Sandefjord 27 7 7 13 -8 -2.7 28
14 Haugesund 27 7 6 14 -16 -9.0 27
15 Lillestrom 27 7 3 17 -23 -6.7 24
16 Odd 27 5 8 14 -24 -21.2 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brann Lillestrom
21′
🔁 M. Karlsbakk
↦ E. Knudtzon
35′
🟨 Kevin Martin Krygard
Half-time 0–0
47′
🟨 Mohanad Jeahze
1–0 A. Heggebø
R. Kristiansen
47′
54′
🟨 Marius Lundemo
58′
M. Karlsbakk 1–1
V. Hoff
S. Opsahl 🔁
↦ S. Kartum
71′
U. Mathisen 🔁
↦ O. Didrik Blomberg
71′
74′
🔁 E. Kitolano
↦ M. Lundemo
B. Finne 🔁
↦ A. Heggebø
75′
84′
🔁 M. Bolly
↦ Vá
2–1 N. Castro
93′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Brann

4-3-3
1 M. Dyngeland G
26 E. Helland D
3 F. Knudsen D
6 J. Sery Larsen D
21 R. Kristiansen D
18 S. Kartum M
10 E. Kornvig M
8 F. Myhre M
16 O. Didrik Blomberg F
20 A. Heggebø F
9 N. Castro F
Bench (9)
5 S. Opsahl
14 U. Mathisen
11 B. Finne
27 M. Sande
32 M. Haaland
15 J. Torsvik
17 J. Soltvedt
36 E. Holmen Johansen
43 R. Holten

Coach: E. Horneland

Lillestrom

4-5-1
12 M. Hedenstad G
15 E. Knudtzon D
28 R. Gabrielsen D
3 M. Roseth D
5 Mohanad Jeahze D
38 A. Røssing-Lelesiit M
8 M. Lundemo M
55 K. Krygård M
6 V. Hoff M
20 M
10 T. Lehne Olsen F
Bench (9)
21 M. Karlsbakk
17 E. Kitolano
14 M. Bolly
1 S. Hagerup
4 E. Garnås
33 M. Diop
7 Y. Ibrahimaj
30 S. Foss
23 G. Åsen

Coach: D. Fagermo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

O Nilsen · 75 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.