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Eliteserien
Referee: Ola Hobber Nilsen
Brann
S S T U T
3–1
Full-time
Tromso
U T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Brann Tromso
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
3,0
1,0
Scored
0,0
1,0
Conceded
3,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
-3,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,35 xG 0,82
77% Possession 23%
12 Shots 3
5 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 0
1 Offside 2
6 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Brann 16. · Tromso 7.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 2 2 0 0 +4 +3.2 6
2 Rosenborg 2 2 0 0 +2 +3.8 6
3 Fredrikstad 2 1 0 1 +2 -2.8 3
4 Valerenga 1 1 0 0 +2 -0.4 3
5 KFUM Oslo 1 1 0 0 +2 +0.8 3
6 Sarpsborg 08 1 1 0 0 +2 +0.8 3
7 Tromso 1 1 0 0 +1 +2.6 3
8 Ham-Kam 2 1 0 1 -2 -1.1 3
9 Stromsgodset 1 0 0 1 -1 -1.8 0
10 Kristiansund 1 0 0 1 -1 -1.2 0
11 Haugesund 1 0 0 1 -1 -2.6 0
12 Bryne 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.9 0
13 Viking 1 0 0 1 -2 +0.4 0
14 Sandefjord 1 0 0 1 -2 -0.8 0
15 Molde 1 0 0 1 -2 -0.8 0
16 Brann 1 0 0 1 -3 +0.8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Brann Tromso
17′
🟨 Vetle Skjaervik
34′
R. Jenssen 0–1
Half-time 0–1
52′
🟨 August Mikkelsen
1–1 A. Heggebo
E. Gudmundsson
62′
J. Sery Larsen 🔁
↦ F. Knudsen
64′
67′
🔁 Y. Paintsil
↦ R. Norheim
67′
🔁 J. Romsaas
↦ A. Mikkelsen
Aune Selland Heggebø ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
73′
2–1 N. Castro
74′
76′
🔁 D. Braut
↦ K. Antonsen
3–1 A. Heggebo
N. Castro
78′
M. Hansen 🔁
↦ T. Pedersen
79′
D. De Roeve 🔁
↦ U. Mathisen
79′
87′
🔁 A. Jenssen
↦ T. Guddal
87′
🔁 F. Christensen
↦ V. Erlien
L. Remmem 🔁
↦ E. Gudmundsson
92′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Brann

4-3-3
1 M. Dyngeland G
23 T. Pedersen D
3 F. Knudsen D
26 E. Fauske Helland D
17 J. Soltvedt D
19 E. Gudmundsson M
10 E. Kornvig M
8 F. Myhre M
14 U. Mathisen F
20 A. Heggebo F
9 N. Castro F
Bench (9)
6 J. Sery Larsen
7 M. Hansen
11 B. Finne
12 M. Borsheim
21 D. De Roeve
27 M. Sande
32 M. Haaland
41 L. Remmem
43 R. Holten

Coach: Freyr Alexandersson

Tromso

5-3-2
1 J. Haugaard G
2 L. Cornic D
24 R. Kristiansen D
21 T. Guddal
4 V. Skjaervik D
23 R. Norheim D
6 J. Hjerto-Dahl M
11 R. Jenssen M
8 K. Antonsen M
17 A. Mikkelsen F
15 V. Erlien F
Bench (9)
5 A. Jenssen
7 Y. Paintsil
10 J. Romsaas
14 S. Prestmo
18 D. Braut
20 D. Edvardsson
22 F. Christensen
27 O. Lauvli
30 I. Vadebu

Coach: Jørgen Vik

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ola Hobber Nilsen · 129 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,8 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,06 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.