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Ekstraklasa

Referee: T Marciniak

Stal Mielec

T U U T S

2–2

Full-time

Radomiak Radom

T U U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stal Mielec Radomiak Radom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,3

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 28%

22%

34%

Points per game

0,9

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

53%

59%

Both score Ø 65%

63%

66%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

1,1

1,4

Conceded

1,6

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,23 xG 0,33

56% Possession 44%

11 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 8

0 Offside 2

3 Free kicks against 22

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stal Mielec 16. · Radomiak Radom 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	32	21	3	8	+36	+12.1	66
2	Rakow	32	19	8	5	+27	+10.3	65
3	Jagiellonia	32	17	8	7	+14	+3.5	59
4	Pogon Szczecin	32	17	5	10	+19	+17.3	56
5	Legia	32	15	8	9	+17	+14.6	53
6	Gornik Zabrze	32	13	7	12	+6	+5.3	46
7	Cracovia	32	12	9	11	+2	-5.6	45
8	GKS Katowice	32	13	6	13	+1	-2.3	45
9	Korona Kielce	32	11	10	11	-8	-0.6	43
10	Motor Lublin	32	12	7	13	-13	-3.9	43
11	Piast Gliwice	32	10	12	10	+0	-1.8	42
12	Radomiak Radom	32	11	7	14	-3	+0.1	40
13	Widzew Lodz	32	10	7	15	-12	-7.0	37
14	Lechia Gdansk	32	10	6	16	-14	-16.2	36
15	Zaglebie	32	10	6	16	-16	-6.8	36
16	Stal Mielec	32	7	8	17	-17	-0.5	29
17	Slask Wroclaw	32	6	10	16	-15	-0.1	28
18	Puszcza	32	6	9	17	-24	-18.2	27

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	16	14	0	2	+33	+11.4	42
2	Pogon Szczecin	16	13	1	2	+22	+17.0	40
3	Jagiellonia	16	9	5	2	+14	+4.7	32
4	Legia	16	9	3	4	+14	+10.9	30
5	Rakow	16	9	3	4	+12	+6.5	30
6	GKS Katowice	16	8	4	4	+7	-4.1	28
7	Gornik Zabrze	16	8	3	5	+9	+5.8	27
8	Korona Kielce	16	8	2	6	+1	+5.8	26
9	Radomiak Radom	16	6	5	5	+6	+4.6	23
10	Widzew Lodz	16	7	2	7	-3	-0.4	23
11	Lechia Gdansk	16	7	2	7	-4	-6.2	23
12	Motor Lublin	16	6	4	6	-1	-1.9	22
13	Zaglebie	16	6	3	7	-4	-4.0	21
14	Piast Gliwice	16	4	8	4	-2	-0.6	20
15	Stal Mielec	16	5	5	6	-3	+3.9	20
16	Slask Wroclaw	16	4	6	6	-1	-0.7	18
17	Cracovia	16	4	6	6	-2	-1.3	18
18	Puszcza	16	4	6	6	-3	-3.6	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Rakow	16	10	5	1	+15	+3.8	35
2	Cracovia	16	8	3	5	+4	-4.4	27
3	Jagiellonia	16	8	3	5	+0	-1.3	27
4	Lech Poznan	16	7	3	6	+3	+0.7	24
5	Legia	16	6	5	5	+3	+3.7	23
6	Piast Gliwice	16	6	4	6	+2	-1.2	22
7	Motor Lublin	16	6	3	7	-12	-1.9	21
8	Gornik Zabrze	16	5	4	7	-3	-0.5	19
9	GKS Katowice	16	5	2	9	-6	+1.7	17
10	Radomiak Radom	16	5	2	9	-9	-4.5	17
11	Korona Kielce	16	3	8	5	-9	-6.4	17
12	Pogon Szczecin	16	4	4	8	-3	+0.3	16
13	Zaglebie	16	4	3	9	-12	-2.8	15
14	Widzew Lodz	16	3	5	8	-9	-6.6	14
15	Lechia Gdansk	16	3	4	9	-10	-10.1	13
16	Slask Wroclaw	16	2	4	10	-14	+0.6	10
17	Stal Mielec	16	2	3	11	-14	-4.3	9
18	Puszcza	16	2	3	11	-21	-14.5	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.