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Pro League

Referee: E Lambrechts

Antwerp

S T S T U

1–2

Full-time

Charleroi

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Antwerp Charleroi

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,7

3,5

Scored

1,2

2,2

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Pro League · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 41%

41%

Points per game

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

52%

41%

Both score Ø 56%

59%

52%

Average goals

2,7

2,4

Scored

1,6

1,3

Conceded

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,04 xG 2,53

56% Possession 44%

23 Shots 17

8 Shots on target 7

4 Blocked shots 6

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 5

2 Offside 1

8 Free kicks against 6

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Antwerp 5. · Charleroi 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	30	20	7	3	+41	+37.6	67
2	St. Gilloise	30	20	7	3	+37	+30.1	67
3	Genk	30	19	4	7	+21	+17.2	61
4	Anderlecht	30	15	6	9	+24	+5.4	51
5	Antwerp	29	12	11	6	+13	-3.8	47
6	Charleroi	29	12	9	8	+8	+4.9	45
7	Cercle Brugge	32	10	9	13	-13	-1.6	39
8	Dender	30	9	11	10	-6	-13.0	38
9	Westerlo	30	9	9	12	+1	+2.8	36
10	Gent	30	9	8	13	-14	-13.3	35
11	Standard	30	7	12	11	-15	-12.2	33
12	Mechelen	30	7	11	12	-5	+4.9	32
13	St Truiden	30	7	8	15	-23	-6.5	29
14	Kortrijk	30	8	4	18	-23	-17.2	28
15	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	30	4	14	12	-15	-8.8	26
16	Beerschot VA	30	4	8	18	-25	-26.4	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	St. Gilloise	15	12	1	2	+22	+20.9	37
2	Genk	15	11	1	3	+16	+15.3	34
3	Club Brugge	15	10	3	2	+23	+21.9	33
4	Charleroi	15	9	3	3	+12	+7.3	30
5	Cercle Brugge	16	7	5	4	+0	+5.2	26
6	Anderlecht	15	7	4	4	+15	+3.3	25
7	Westerlo	15	5	6	4	+8	+12.9	21
8	Antwerp	14	6	3	5	+8	+2.3	21
9	Dender	15	5	6	4	+6	-1.6	21
10	St Truiden	15	5	6	4	-2	+1.7	21
11	Gent	15	6	2	7	-1	-2.4	20
12	Standard	15	5	5	5	-1	-2.2	20
13	Mechelen	15	4	7	4	+6	+9.3	19
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	15	3	9	3	+1	-0.3	18
15	Beerschot VA	15	4	6	5	-2	-10.2	18
16	Kortrijk	15	5	2	8	-6	-4.0	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Club Brugge	15	10	4	1	+18	+15.7	34
2	St. Gilloise	15	8	6	1	+15	+9.2	30
3	Genk	15	8	3	4	+5	+1.9	27
4	Anderlecht	15	8	2	5	+9	+2.1	26
5	Antwerp	15	6	8	1	+5	-6.1	26
6	Dender	15	4	5	6	-12	-11.4	17
7	Charleroi	14	3	6	5	-4	-2.4	15
8	Westerlo	15	4	3	8	-7	-10.1	15
9	Gent	15	3	6	6	-13	-10.9	15
10	Mechelen	15	3	4	8	-11	-4.5	13
11	Cercle Brugge	16	3	4	9	-13	-6.8	13
12	Standard	15	2	7	6	-14	-9.9	13
13	Kortrijk	15	3	2	10	-17	-13.2	11
14	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	15	1	5	9	-16	-8.4	8
15	St Truiden	15	2	2	11	-21	-8.2	8
16	Beerschot VA	15	0	2	13	-23	-16.2	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.