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Eliteserien

Referee: Sigurd Smehus Kringstad

Fredrikstad

T U S T U

3–2

Full-time

Stromsgodset

T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fredrikstad Stromsgodset

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,5

3,5

Scored

1,0

0,5

Conceded

1,5

3,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-2,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 16/14 matches

Win Ø 26%

38%

14%

Points per game

1,4

0,4

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

31%

79%

Both score Ø 48%

38%

57%

Average goals

2,4

3,6

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,1

2,4

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-1,1

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

2,37 xG 0,89

55% Possession 45%

21 Shots 10

5 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 1

1 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fredrikstad 8. · Stromsgodset 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	17	11	3	3	+18	+15.4	36
2	Tromso	14	10	1	3	+9	+5.0	31
3	Brann	16	9	3	4	+3	+13.8	30
4	Bodo/Glimt	14	9	2	3	+19	+16.6	29
5	Rosenborg	16	7	6	3	+3	+7.0	27
6	Sandefjord	14	8	0	6	+10	-3.2	24
7	Sarpsborg 08	14	5	7	2	+9	+9.6	22
8	Fredrikstad	16	6	4	6	+2	-3.1	22
9	Kristiansund	16	5	4	7	-8	-11.1	19
10	KFUM Oslo	14	5	3	6	+1	+0.8	18
11	Valerenga	15	5	3	7	+0	+1.1	18
12	Bryne	14	5	3	6	-4	-1.9	18
13	Molde	15	5	2	8	-1	-0.2	17
14	Ham-Kam	14	3	5	6	-11	-9.7	14
15	Stromsgodset	14	2	0	12	-16	-14.3	6
16	Haugesund	15	0	2	13	-34	-25.9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sandefjord	7	7	0	0	+19	+5.4	21
2	Viking	9	6	2	1	+12	+10.8	20
3	Brann	9	6	2	1	+6	+9.2	20
4	Rosenborg	8	4	4	0	+7	+8.7	16
5	Fredrikstad	9	5	1	3	+6	-2.6	16
6	Bodo/Glimt	7	5	0	2	+12	+9.9	15
7	Tromso	7	5	0	2	+4	+4.9	15
8	Bryne	7	4	1	2	+1	+3.8	13
9	KFUM Oslo	7	3	1	3	+4	+0.9	10
10	Sarpsborg 08	7	2	3	2	+4	+5.2	9
11	Ham-Kam	7	2	3	2	-3	-4.2	9
12	Valerenga	7	2	2	3	+0	+1.3	8
13	Kristiansund	7	2	2	3	+0	-4.6	8
14	Molde	7	2	1	4	-1	+2.5	7
15	Haugesund	7	0	2	5	-16	-7.1	2
16	Stromsgodset	7	0	0	7	-11	-6.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	8	5	1	2	+6	+4.7	16
2	Tromso	7	5	1	1	+5	+0.1	16
3	Bodo/Glimt	7	4	2	1	+7	+6.7	14
4	Sarpsborg 08	7	3	4	0	+5	+4.4	13
5	Rosenborg	8	3	2	3	-4	-1.6	11
6	Kristiansund	9	3	2	4	-8	-6.4	11
7	Molde	8	3	1	4	+0	-2.7	10
8	Valerenga	8	3	1	4	+0	-0.2	10
9	Brann	7	3	1	3	-3	+4.6	10
10	KFUM Oslo	7	2	2	3	-3	-0.0	8
11	Fredrikstad	7	1	3	3	-4	-0.5	6
12	Stromsgodset	7	2	0	5	-5	-8.1	6
13	Bryne	7	1	2	4	-5	-5.7	5
14	Ham-Kam	7	1	2	4	-8	-5.5	5
15	Sandefjord	7	1	0	6	-9	-8.6	3
16	Haugesund	8	0	0	8	-18	-18.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.