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Ekstraklasa

Referee: J Przybyl

Cracovia

T T S S S

2–0

Full-time

Nieciecza

T U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cracovia Nieciecza

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,0

4,2

Scored

1,8

2,2

Conceded

1,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

5,0

4,0

Scored

4,0

Conceded

1,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+3,0

+4,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,35 xG 0,68

46% Possession 54%

14 Shots 7

3 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

5 Corners 6

1 Offside 0

16 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cracovia 3. · Nieciecza 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Radomiak Radom	1	1	0	+4	-0.1	3
2	Nieciecza	1	1	0	+4	+1.4	3
3	Cracovia	1	1	0	+3	-0.1	3
4	Wisla Plock	1	1	0	+2	+3.0	3
5	Gornik Zabrze	1	1	0	+1	+0.2	3
6	Widzew Lodz	1	1	0	+1	-0.1	3
7	Rakow	1	1	0	+1	+2.1	3
8	Motor Lublin	1	1	0	+1	+0.9	3
9	Lechia Gdansk	1	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
10	Zaglebie	1	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
11	GKS Katowice	1	0	1	-1	-2.1	0
12	Arka Gdynia	1	0	1	-1	-0.9	0
13	Korona Kielce	1	0	1	-2	-3.0	0
14	Lech Poznan	1	0	1	-3	+0.1	0
15	Pogon Szczecin	1	0	1	-4	+0.1	0
16	Jagiellonia	1	0	1	-4	-1.4	0

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Radomiak Radom	1	1	0	+4	-0.1	3
2	Wisla Plock	1	1	0	+2	+3.0	3
3	Gornik Zabrze	1	1	0	+1	+0.2	3
4	Widzew Lodz	1	1	0	+1	-0.1	3
5	Motor Lublin	1	1	0	+1	+0.9	3
6	GKS Katowice	1	0	1	-1	-2.1	0
7	Lech Poznan	1	0	1	-3	+0.1	0
8	Jagiellonia	1	0	1	-4	-1.4	0

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Nieciecza	1	1	0	+4	+1.4	3
2	Cracovia	1	1	0	+3	-0.1	3
3	Rakow	1	1	0	+1	+2.1	3
4	Lechia Gdansk	1	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
5	Zaglebie	1	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
6	Arka Gdynia	1	0	1	-1	-0.9	0
7	Korona Kielce	1	0	1	-2	-3.0	0
8	Pogon Szczecin	1	0	1	-4	+0.1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.