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Ekstraklasa

Referee: K Arys

Arka Gdynia

S T U T T

1–1

Full-time

Radomiak Radom

U S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arka Gdynia Radomiak Radom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,7

3,5

Scored

1,3

2,2

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Ekstraklasa · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

1,0

6,0

Scored

0,0

5,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+4,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,73 xG 0,75

49% Possession 51%

10 Shots 15

4 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 4

3 Offside 2

16 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Arka Gdynia 12. · Radomiak Radom 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Cracovia	2	2	0	+5	+0.6	6
2	Radomiak Radom	1	1	0	+4	-0.1	3
3	Nieciecza	2	1	1	+2	+0.7	3
4	Wisla Plock	1	1	0	+2	+3.0	3
5	Gornik Zabrze	1	1	0	+1	+0.2	3
6	Widzew Lodz	1	1	0	+1	-0.1	3
7	Rakow	1	1	0	+1	+2.1	3
8	Motor Lublin	1	1	0	+1	+0.9	3
9	Lechia Gdansk	1	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
10	Zaglebie	1	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
11	GKS Katowice	1	0	1	-1	-2.1	0
12	Arka Gdynia	1	0	1	-1	-0.9	0
13	Korona Kielce	1	0	1	-2	-3.0	0
14	Lech Poznan	1	0	1	-3	+0.1	0
15	Pogon Szczecin	1	0	1	-4	+0.1	0
16	Jagiellonia	1	0	1	-4	-1.4	0

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Radomiak Radom	1	1	0	+4	-0.1	3
2	Cracovia	1	1	0	+2	+0.7	3
3	Wisla Plock	1	1	0	+2	+3.0	3
4	Gornik Zabrze	1	1	0	+1	+0.2	3
5	Widzew Lodz	1	1	0	+1	-0.1	3
6	Motor Lublin	1	1	0	+1	+0.9	3
7	GKS Katowice	1	0	1	-1	-2.1	0
8	Lech Poznan	1	0	1	-3	+0.1	0
9	Jagiellonia	1	0	1	-4	-1.4	0

#	Team	K	V	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Cracovia	1	1	0	+3	-0.1	3
2	Nieciecza	2	1	1	+2	+0.7	3
3	Rakow	1	1	0	+1	+2.1	3
4	Lechia Gdansk	1	0	1	-1	-0.2	0
5	Zaglebie	1	0	1	-1	+0.1	0
6	Arka Gdynia	1	0	1	-1	-0.9	0
7	Korona Kielce	1	0	1	-2	-3.0	0
8	Pogon Szczecin	1	0	1	-4	+0.1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.