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Eliteserien

Referee: Ola Hobber Nilsen

Bodo/Glimt

T U S S S

5–0

Full-time

Start

U U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bodo/Glimt Start

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

2,2

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 5/6 matches

Win Ø 30%

60%

Points per game

2,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

60%

33%

Both score Ø 52%

20%

83%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

1,2

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

3,27 xG 1,14

71% Possession 29%

29 Shots 13

11 Shots on target 7

11 Blocked shots 4

6 Goalkeeper saves 6

13 Corners 4

1 Offside 0

6 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bodo/Glimt 5. · Start 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tromso	8	6	1	1	+7	+7.5	19
2	Viking	6	5	0	1	+10	+7.2	15
3	Lillestrom	6	4	1	1	+5	+3.0	13
4	Molde	6	3	1	2	+5	+3.1	10
5	Bodo/Glimt	5	3	1	1	+3	+3.4	10
6	Ham-Kam	5	3	0	2	-1	-0.5	9
7	Brann	7	2	1	4	+5	+2.6	7
8	Kristiansund	5	2	1	2	-2	-3.8	7
9	Sandefjord	6	2	1	3	-3	-1.6	7
10	Fredrikstad	6	2	1	3	-4	-3.8	7
11	KFUM Oslo	6	2	1	3	-4	-1.6	7
12	Valerenga	6	2	1	3	-4	-5.4	7
13	Sarpsborg 08	6	1	2	3	-1	+1.3	5
14	Rosenborg	6	1	2	3	-5	-2.3	5
15	Start	6	0	3	3	-5	-2.4	3
16	Aalesund	6	0	3	3	-6	-6.8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tromso	6	4	1	1	+5	+7.0	13
2	Viking	3	3	0	0	+9	+2.9	9
3	Molde	4	3	0	1	+8	+3.1	9
4	Ham-Kam	4	3	0	1	+2	+0.3	9
5	KFUM Oslo	3	2	0	1	+2	-0.5	6
6	Kristiansund	3	2	0	1	+0	-2.3	6
7	Fredrikstad	3	1	1	1	+1	-1.4	4
8	Rosenborg	3	1	1	1	-1	+0.8	4
9	Bodo/Glimt	1	1	0	0	+3	+3.0	3
10	Lillestrom	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.2	3
11	Valerenga	3	1	0	2	-2	-3.1	3
12	Start	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.2	2
13	Sarpsborg 08	3	0	2	1	-1	+0.6	2
14	Aalesund	4	0	2	2	-3	-1.9	2
15	Sandefjord	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.0	1
16	Brann	2	0	0	2	-2	+0.8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lillestrom	4	3	1	0	+5	+1.8	10
2	Brann	5	2	1	2	+7	+1.8	7
3	Bodo/Glimt	4	2	1	1	+0	+0.4	7
4	Tromso	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.5	6
5	Viking	3	2	0	1	+1	+4.3	6
6	Sandefjord	4	2	0	2	-1	-0.6	6
7	Valerenga	3	1	1	1	-2	-2.3	4
8	Sarpsborg 08	3	1	0	2	+0	+0.7	3
9	Fredrikstad	3	1	0	2	-5	-2.4	3
10	Kristiansund	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.5	1
11	Molde	2	0	1	1	-3	+0.0	1
12	Aalesund	2	0	1	1	-3	-5.0	1
13	Rosenborg	3	0	1	2	-4	-3.1	1
14	Start	4	0	1	3	-5	-3.6	1
15	KFUM Oslo	3	0	1	2	-6	-1.0	1
16	Ham-Kam	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.