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Eliteserien

Referee: Sivert Amland

Start

S T U U T

1–1

Full-time

Molde

T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Start Molde

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

25%

50%

Both score Ø 63%

75%

50%

Average goals

2,5

3,3

Scored

0,8

1,8

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

0,78 xG 1,48

42% Possession 58%

12 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 4

2 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

2 Corners 6

2 Offside 0

18 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Start 15. · Molde 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tromso	6	5	1	0	+10	+8.0	16
2	Lillestrom	5	4	1	0	+7	+2.9	13
3	Viking	5	4	0	1	+9	+5.6	12
4	Bodo/Glimt	4	2	1	1	+1	+3.6	7
5	Valerenga	5	2	1	2	+0	-3.2	7
6	Sandefjord	5	2	1	2	-1	-0.6	7
7	Fredrikstad	5	2	1	2	-3	-2.2	7
8	Molde	4	2	0	2	+1	+0.2	6
9	Ham-Kam	4	2	0	2	-2	-0.9	6
10	Kristiansund	4	2	0	2	-2	-3.4	6
11	Sarpsborg 08	5	1	2	2	+0	+0.9	5
12	KFUM Oslo	5	1	1	3	-5	-1.2	4
13	Rosenborg	5	1	1	3	-5	-2.4	4
14	Brann	5	1	0	4	+0	+1.3	3
15	Start	4	0	2	2	-4	-1.3	2
16	Aalesund	5	0	2	3	-6	-7.2	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tromso	4	3	1	0	+8	+7.5	10
2	Viking	3	3	0	0	+9	+2.9	9
3	Molde	3	2	0	1	+4	+0.9	6
4	Ham-Kam	3	2	0	1	+1	-0.1	6
5	Kristiansund	3	2	0	1	+0	-2.3	6
6	Fredrikstad	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.2	4
7	Bodo/Glimt	1	1	0	0	+3	+3.0	3
8	Lillestrom	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.1	3
9	KFUM Oslo	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.2	3
10	Rosenborg	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.7	3
11	Valerenga	3	1	0	2	-2	-3.1	3
12	Sarpsborg 08	3	0	2	1	-1	+0.6	2
13	Start	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.9	1
14	Sandefjord	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.0	1
15	Aalesund	3	0	1	2	-3	-2.2	1
16	Brann	2	0	0	2	-2	+0.8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lillestrom	4	3	1	0	+5	+1.8	10
2	Tromso	2	2	0	0	+2	+0.5	6
3	Sandefjord	3	2	0	1	+1	+0.4	6
4	Valerenga	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.1	4
5	Bodo/Glimt	3	1	1	1	-2	+0.6	4
6	Brann	3	1	0	2	+2	+0.5	3
7	Sarpsborg 08	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.3	3
8	Viking	2	1	0	1	+0	+2.7	3
9	Fredrikstad	3	1	0	2	-5	-2.4	3
10	Aalesund	2	0	1	1	-3	-5.0	1
11	Start	3	0	1	2	-4	-3.2	1
12	Rosenborg	3	0	1	2	-4	-3.1	1
13	KFUM Oslo	3	0	1	2	-6	-1.0	1
14	Kristiansund	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.1	0
15	Molde	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.7	0
16	Ham-Kam	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.