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Eliteserien

Referee: Mohammad Usman Aslam

Sarpsborg 08

S S T T S

1–1

Full-time

Start

U S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Start

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,5

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 1/2 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

2,0

0,5

Conceded

0,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+2,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,81 xG 0,81

58% Possession 42%

17 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 1

7 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 2

1 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 15

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 5. · Start 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tromso	2	2	0	0	+5	+3.5	6
2	Viking	3	2	0	1	+3	+3.4	6
3	Valerenga	3	2	0	1	+2	-2.7	6
4	Lillestrom	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.5	3
5	Sarpsborg 08	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
6	Kristiansund	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
7	Ham-Kam	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.7	3
8	KFUM Oslo	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.9	3
9	Molde	2	1	0	1	-1	-0.2	3
10	Fredrikstad	2	1	0	1	-2	-2.6	3
11	Aalesund	2	0	1	1	-2	-3.4	1
12	Start	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.8	1
13	Brann	2	0	0	2	-2	-1.1	0
14	Sandefjord	2	0	0	2	-3	-0.3	0
15	Rosenborg	2	0	0	2	-4	-0.3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tromso	1	1	0	0	+4	+2.9	3
2	Viking	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.7	3
3	Fredrikstad	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.3	3
4	Molde	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.5	3
5	KFUM Oslo	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.1	3
6	Kristiansund	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.5	3
7	Ham-Kam	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.7	3
8	Valerenga	2	1	0	1	+0	-2.5	3
9	Start	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.9	1
10	Brann	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.6	0
11	Aalesund	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.5	0
12	Rosenborg	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.2	0
13	Sandefjord	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lillestrom	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.5	3
2	Valerenga	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.2	3
3	Sarpsborg 08	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
4	Tromso	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
5	Viking	2	1	0	1	+0	+2.7	3
6	Aalesund	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.9	1
7	Brann	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.5	0
8	Sandefjord	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.5	0
9	KFUM Oslo	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.3	0
10	Rosenborg	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.5	0
11	Start	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.1	0
12	Molde	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.7	0
13	Fredrikstad	1	0	0	1	-4	-2.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.