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Eliteserien

Referee: Sigurd Smehus Kringstad

Fredrikstad

T T S U S

0–2

Full-time

Lillestrom

S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fredrikstad Lillestrom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

100%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 46%

36%

55%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

73%

45%

Both score Ø 59%

82%

36%

Average goals

3,2

2,5

Scored

1,4

1,5

Conceded

1,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,89 xG 1,27

61% Possession 39%

14 Shots 10

1 Shots on target 4

7 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

8 Corners 3

4 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fredrikstad 10. · Lillestrom 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	10	9	0	1	+19	+11.1	27
2	Tromso	13	7	4	2	+4	+5.5	25
3	Bodo/Glimt	11	7	2	2	+17	+15.4	23
4	Lillestrom	11	6	1	4	+6	+4.2	19
5	Molde	11	6	1	4	+5	+0.9	19
6	Ham-Kam	10	5	2	3	+1	-1.8	17
7	Sarpsborg 08	11	4	2	5	-3	+0.6	14
8	Sandefjord	11	4	2	5	-3	-1.2	14
9	Valerenga	11	4	2	5	-4	-2.6	14
10	Fredrikstad	11	4	2	5	-5	-6.0	14
11	Brann	12	4	1	7	+4	+1.3	13
12	KFUM Oslo	11	3	3	5	-5	-3.6	12
13	Aalesund	11	2	5	4	-5	-7.7	11
14	Kristiansund	11	3	2	6	-7	-5.4	11
15	Rosenborg	11	2	3	6	-9	-4.4	9
16	Start	12	1	4	7	-15	-6.2	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tromso	8	5	2	1	+7	+8.5	17
2	Viking	5	5	0	0	+15	+4.3	15
3	Molde	6	5	0	1	+10	+3.0	15
4	Ham-Kam	6	5	0	1	+5	-1.0	15
5	Bodo/Glimt	5	4	0	1	+14	+13.0	12
6	Fredrikstad	5	3	1	1	+3	-1.2	10
7	KFUM Oslo	6	3	1	2	+2	-1.3	10
8	Valerenga	6	3	1	2	+1	-1.3	10
9	Lillestrom	5	3	0	2	+5	+3.6	9
10	Sarpsborg 08	5	2	2	1	+1	+1.5	8
11	Sandefjord	5	2	2	1	+1	-0.0	8
12	Rosenborg	6	2	2	2	+0	+1.7	8
13	Kristiansund	5	2	1	2	-1	-2.5	7
14	Brann	5	2	0	3	+0	+3.4	6
15	Start	5	1	3	1	-1	+0.3	6
16	Aalesund	6	1	3	2	-2	-0.3	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Viking	5	4	0	1	+4	+6.8	12
2	Bodo/Glimt	6	3	2	1	+3	+2.3	11
3	Lillestrom	6	3	1	2	+1	+0.6	10
4	Tromso	5	2	2	1	-3	-3.0	8
5	Brann	7	2	1	4	+4	-2.1	7
6	Sarpsborg 08	6	2	0	4	-4	-0.9	6
7	Sandefjord	6	2	0	4	-4	-1.2	6
8	Aalesund	5	1	2	2	-3	-7.4	5
9	Molde	5	1	1	3	-5	-2.1	4
10	Valerenga	5	1	1	3	-5	-1.3	4
11	Kristiansund	6	1	1	4	-6	-2.9	4
12	Fredrikstad	6	1	1	4	-8	-4.8	4
13	Ham-Kam	4	0	2	2	-4	-0.8	2
14	KFUM Oslo	5	0	2	3	-7	-2.2	2
15	Rosenborg	5	0	1	4	-9	-6.1	1
16	Start	7	0	1	6	-14	-6.6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.