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Eliteserien

Referee: Ola Hobber Nilsen

Rosenborg

T S U U T

2–0

Full-time

Lillestrom

S U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rosenborg Lillestrom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,8

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,0

2,2

Scored

0,5

1,7

Conceded

1,5

0,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 43%

14%

71%

Points per game

0,7

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

29%

43%

Both score Ø 29%

29%

Average goals

2,0

2,4

Scored

0,4

1,9

Conceded

1,6

0,6

Goal diff per game

-1,1

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,88 xG 0,41

51% Possession 49%

18 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 3

7 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

1 Corners 4

3 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rosenborg 14. · Lillestrom 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tromso	9	6	2	1	+7	+7.0	20
2	Viking	7	6	0	1	+13	+8.6	18
3	Lillestrom	7	5	1	1	+9	+4.6	16
4	Bodo/Glimt	7	4	1	2	+7	+7.3	13
5	Molde	7	4	1	2	+6	+1.4	13
6	Ham-Kam	7	4	1	2	+0	-1.8	13
7	Brann	8	3	1	4	+7	+4.2	10
8	Sandefjord	7	3	1	3	-2	+0.1	10
9	Kristiansund	6	2	2	2	-2	-3.5	8
10	KFUM Oslo	7	2	2	3	-4	-1.4	8
11	Sarpsborg 08	8	2	2	4	-4	+1.1	8
12	Valerenga	8	2	2	4	-5	-4.6	8
13	Fredrikstad	8	2	1	5	-7	-6.7	7
14	Rosenborg	7	1	2	4	-8	-3.7	5
15	Start	8	0	4	4	-10	-4.0	4
16	Aalesund	7	0	3	4	-7	-8.5	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tromso	6	4	1	1	+5	+7.0	13
2	Viking	4	4	0	0	+12	+4.3	12
3	Ham-Kam	5	4	0	1	+3	-0.7	12
4	Molde	4	3	0	1	+8	+3.1	9
5	Kristiansund	4	2	1	1	+0	-2.0	7
6	Bodo/Glimt	3	2	0	1	+7	+6.9	6
7	Lillestrom	3	2	0	1	+4	+2.8	6
8	KFUM Oslo	3	2	0	1	+2	-0.5	6
9	Sarpsborg 08	4	1	2	1	+0	+1.9	5
10	Fredrikstad	3	1	1	1	+1	-1.4	4
11	Rosenborg	3	1	1	1	-1	+0.8	4
12	Sandefjord	3	1	1	1	-1	+0.7	4
13	Valerenga	4	1	1	2	-2	-3.2	4
14	Brann	3	1	0	2	+0	+2.3	3
15	Start	3	0	3	0	+0	+1.7	3
16	Aalesund	4	0	2	2	-3	-1.9	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lillestrom	4	3	1	0	+5	+1.8	10
2	Brann	5	2	1	2	+7	+1.8	7
3	Tromso	3	2	1	0	+2	-0.0	7
4	Bodo/Glimt	4	2	1	1	+0	+0.4	7
5	Viking	3	2	0	1	+1	+4.3	6
6	Sandefjord	4	2	0	2	-1	-0.6	6
7	Molde	3	1	1	1	-2	-1.7	4
8	Valerenga	4	1	1	2	-3	-1.4	4
9	Sarpsborg 08	4	1	0	3	-4	-0.9	3
10	Fredrikstad	5	1	0	4	-8	-5.2	3
11	KFUM Oslo	4	0	2	2	-6	-0.9	2
12	Kristiansund	2	0	1	1	-2	-1.5	1
13	Ham-Kam	2	0	1	1	-3	-1.1	1
14	Aalesund	3	0	1	2	-4	-6.7	1
15	Rosenborg	4	0	1	3	-7	-4.5	1
16	Start	5	0	1	4	-10	-5.8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.