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Eliteserien

Referee: S Amland

Fredrikstad

S T S S U

2–1

Full-time

Lillestrom

T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fredrikstad Lillestrom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,7

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

1,2

0,5

Conceded

1,5

2,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-2,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 36%

46%

25%

Points per game

1,7

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

42%

67%

Both score Ø 46%

38%

54%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

1,3

1,1

Conceded

1,2

2,1

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,39 xG 0,89

47% Possession 53%

15 Shots 9

6 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 5

10 Free kicks against 12

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fredrikstad 6. · Lillestrom 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	25	16	6	3	+36	+18.7	54
2	Brann	25	14	7	4	+15	+11.6	49
3	Molde	25	13	5	7	+25	+16.2	44
4	Viking	25	12	8	5	+15	+15.1	44
5	Rosenborg	25	12	4	9	+5	+2.1	40
6	Fredrikstad	24	11	7	6	+3	+2.1	40
7	KFUM Oslo	25	8	10	7	+1	+7.2	34
8	Kristiansund	25	7	9	9	-8	-9.2	30
9	Ham-Kam	25	7	8	10	-1	-3.1	29
10	Tromso	25	8	5	12	-5	-11.9	29
11	Stromsgodset	25	7	8	10	-9	-7.1	29
12	Sarpsborg 08	25	8	5	12	-13	-6.2	29
13	Sandefjord	25	6	7	12	-8	-2.8	25
14	Haugesund	25	6	6	13	-14	-6.7	24
15	Odd	25	5	8	12	-18	-17.5	23
16	Lillestrom	24	6	3	15	-24	-8.5	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	12	9	3	0	+27	+12.0	30
2	Viking	13	8	4	1	+11	+9.8	28
3	Rosenborg	13	9	1	3	+11	+6.2	28
4	Molde	13	7	2	4	+15	+13.4	23
5	Brann	12	7	2	3	+7	+9.6	23
6	Kristiansund	13	5	6	2	+1	+4.4	21
7	Fredrikstad	12	5	5	2	+2	+4.7	20
8	Sandefjord	12	5	2	5	+1	+1.8	17
9	Stromsgodset	12	4	4	4	+1	+5.4	16
10	Tromso	13	4	3	6	+1	-0.2	15
11	Ham-Kam	12	3	4	5	+1	-1.3	13
12	KFUM Oslo	13	2	7	4	-4	+8.6	13
13	Haugesund	12	4	1	7	-5	+2.5	13
14	Odd	13	3	4	6	-8	-5.7	13
15	Sarpsborg 08	12	3	2	7	-10	-0.8	11
16	Lillestrom	12	2	3	7	-13	-4.2	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brann	13	7	5	1	+8	+2.0	26
2	Bodo/Glimt	13	7	3	3	+9	+6.8	24
3	Molde	12	6	3	3	+10	+2.8	21
4	KFUM Oslo	12	6	3	3	+5	-1.4	21
5	Fredrikstad	12	6	2	4	+1	-2.6	20
6	Sarpsborg 08	13	5	3	5	-3	-5.4	18
7	Viking	12	4	4	4	+4	+5.4	16
8	Ham-Kam	13	4	4	5	-2	-1.8	16
9	Tromso	12	4	2	6	-6	-11.7	14
10	Stromsgodset	13	3	4	6	-10	-12.5	13
11	Rosenborg	12	3	3	6	-6	-4.1	12
12	Lillestrom	12	4	0	8	-11	-4.2	12
13	Haugesund	13	2	5	6	-9	-9.3	11
14	Odd	12	2	4	6	-10	-11.8	10
15	Kristiansund	12	2	3	7	-9	-13.7	9
16	Sandefjord	13	1	5	7	-9	-4.7	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.