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Eliteserien
Referee: Stian Rovig Sletner
Sandefjord
S S T U T
2–2
Full-time
Ham-Kam
U S T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sandefjord Ham-Kam
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 11/10 matches
Win Ø 43%
36%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
36%
70%
Both score Ø 58%
45%
70%
Average goals
2,1
3,3
Scored
0,9
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,6
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,26 xG 2,82
47% Possession 53%
13 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 3
7 Blocked shots 7
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 7
16 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sandefjord 8. · Ham-Kam 6.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Tromso 14 8 4 2 +8 +6.9 28
2 Viking 10 9 0 1 +19 +11.1 27
3 Bodo/Glimt 12 8 2 2 +19 +16.1 26
4 Lillestrom 12 7 1 4 +8 +4.6 22
5 Molde 12 6 2 4 +5 +2.1 20
6 Ham-Kam 10 5 2 3 +1 -1.8 17
7 Sarpsborg 08 11 4 2 5 -3 +0.6 14
8 Sandefjord 11 4 2 5 -3 -1.2 14
9 Fredrikstad 12 4 2 6 -7 -6.4 14
10 Valerenga 12 4 2 6 -8 -3.9 14
11 Brann 12 4 1 7 +4 +1.3 13
12 Aalesund 12 2 6 4 -5 -8.9 12
13 KFUM Oslo 12 3 3 6 -7 -4.3 12
14 Kristiansund 11 3 2 6 -7 -5.4 11
15 Rosenborg 11 2 3 6 -9 -4.4 9
16 Start 12 1 4 7 -15 -6.2 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sandefjord Ham-Kam
1–0 B. Berntsen
V. Egeli
4′
Fredrik Carson Pedersen 🟨
27′
39′
🟨 Ethan Amundsen-Day
Half-time 1–0
Jakob Vester 🟥
54′
Jakob Vester ℹ️
VAR:
55′
61′
A. Potur 1–1
P. Metcalfe
J. Dunsby 🔁
↦ B. Berntsen
64′
E. Pettersen 🔁
↦ E. Patoulidis
64′
69′
🔁 M. Johnsgard
↦ A. Trondsen
73′
🔁 S. Nilsen
↦ M. Gjone
73′
🔁 F. Sjolstad
↦ H. Opsahl
2–1 E. Pettersen
74′
H. Krogelien 🔁
↦ S. Mork
77′
S. Mathisen 🔁
↦ N. Moller
77′
84′
🟨 Anton Ekeroth
87′
🔁 L. Mettler
↦ P. Metcalfe
87′
🔁 D. Benjamin
↦ A. Ekeroth
90′
M. Niang 2–2
L. Mettler
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Sandefjord

4-1-4-1
30 E. Hadaya G
4 F. Pedersen D
44 X. Lambrix D
47 S. Kristiansen D
3 V. Egeli D
6 S. Mork M
7 E. Patoulidis M
20 M. Melchior M
37 J. Vester M
19 B. Berntsen M
11 N. Moller F
Bench (8)
1 A. Gronneberg
27 J. Dunsby
10 R. Alte
21 J. Swift
16 H. Krogelien
14 E. Pettersen
24 S. Mathisen
17 F. Apetorgbor

Coach: Andreas Tegstrom

Ham-Kam

5-3-2
12 M. Sandberg G
26 P. Metcalfe D
2 M. Gjone D
4 H. Opsahl D
3 E. Amundsen-Day D
5 A. Ekeroth D
16 A. Trondsen M
14 L. Mares M
17 A. Potur M
29 M. Niang F
19 H. Udahl F
Bench (9)
13 S. Ostraat
7 V. Jonsson
22 S. Nilsen
10 L. Mettler
20 J. Gonstad
28 D. Benjamin
23 F. Sjolstad
8 M. Johnsgard
6 W. Osnes-Ringen

Coach: Thomas Myhre

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
U ✓
B
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Stian Rovig Sletner · 24 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,04 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.