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Eliteserien

Referee: Marius Grotta

Sarpsborg 08

T S T S S

1–0

Full-time

Viking

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sarpsborg 08 Viking

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

50%

100%

Points per game

1,5

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,2

4,2

Scored

1,3

3,0

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 11/10 matches

Win Ø 63%

36%

90%

Points per game

1,3

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 68%

55%

80%

Both score Ø 62%

64%

60%

Average goals

2,6

3,9

Scored

1,2

2,9

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+1,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,31 xG 0,86

40% Possession 60%

18 Shots 12

6 Shots on target 3

7 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 4

1 Offside 2

6 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sarpsborg 08 9. · Viking 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tromso	14	8	4	2	+8	+6.9	28
2	Viking	10	9	0	1	+19	+11.1	27
3	Bodo/Glimt	12	8	2	2	+19	+16.1	26
4	Lillestrom	12	7	1	4	+8	+4.6	22
5	Molde	12	6	2	4	+5	+2.1	20
6	Ham-Kam	11	5	3	3	+1	-0.2	18
7	Brann	13	5	1	7	+5	+1.7	16
8	Sandefjord	12	4	3	5	-3	-2.8	15
9	Sarpsborg 08	11	4	2	5	-3	+0.6	14
10	Fredrikstad	12	4	2	6	-7	-6.4	14
11	Valerenga	12	4	2	6	-8	-3.9	14
12	Aalesund	12	2	6	4	-5	-8.9	12
13	Rosenborg	12	3	3	6	-6	-2.8	12
14	KFUM Oslo	12	3	3	6	-7	-4.3	12
15	Kristiansund	12	3	2	7	-10	-7.0	11
16	Start	13	1	4	8	-16	-6.6	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tromso	9	6	2	1	+11	+9.9	20
2	Viking	5	5	0	0	+15	+4.3	15
3	Molde	6	5	0	1	+10	+3.0	15
4	Ham-Kam	6	5	0	1	+5	-1.0	15
5	Bodo/Glimt	5	4	0	1	+14	+13.0	12
6	Rosenborg	7	3	2	2	+3	+3.3	11
7	Valerenga	6	3	1	2	+1	-1.3	10
8	Fredrikstad	6	3	1	2	+1	-1.6	10
9	KFUM Oslo	7	3	1	3	+0	-2.1	10
10	Lillestrom	5	3	0	2	+5	+3.6	9
11	Brann	6	3	0	3	+1	+3.8	9
12	Sandefjord	6	2	3	1	+1	-1.6	9
13	Sarpsborg 08	5	2	2	1	+1	+1.5	8
14	Kristiansund	5	2	1	2	-1	-2.5	7
15	Aalesund	7	1	4	2	-2	-1.5	7
16	Start	5	1	3	1	-1	+0.3	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	7	4	2	1	+5	+3.1	14
2	Lillestrom	7	4	1	2	+3	+1.0	13
3	Viking	5	4	0	1	+4	+6.8	12
4	Tromso	5	2	2	1	-3	-3.0	8
5	Brann	7	2	1	4	+4	-2.1	7
6	Sarpsborg 08	6	2	0	4	-4	-0.9	6
7	Sandefjord	6	2	0	4	-4	-1.2	6
8	Aalesund	5	1	2	2	-3	-7.4	5
9	Molde	6	1	2	3	-5	-0.9	5
10	Fredrikstad	6	1	1	4	-8	-4.8	4
11	Valerenga	6	1	1	4	-9	-2.7	4
12	Kristiansund	7	1	1	5	-9	-4.5	4
13	Ham-Kam	5	0	3	2	-4	+0.7	3
14	KFUM Oslo	5	0	2	3	-7	-2.2	2
15	Rosenborg	5	0	1	4	-9	-6.1	1
16	Start	8	0	1	7	-15	-7.0	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.