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Eliteserien

Referee: Ola Hobber Nilsen

Rosenborg

T T U S S

4–0

Full-time

Fredrikstad

S U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rosenborg Fredrikstad

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,3

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 31%

31%

Points per game

1,2

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

46%

62%

Both score Ø 50%

31%

69%

Average goals

2,5

2,9

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,4

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,6

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,54 xG 0,54

55% Possession 45%

23 Shots 7

10 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 6

10 Corners 3

2 Offside 0

15 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Rosenborg 10. · Fredrikstad 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	15	11	2	2	+26	+22.9	35
2	Viking	14	11	1	2	+20	+13.0	34
3	Tromso	15	9	4	2	+11	+8.8	31
4	Lillestrom	14	8	1	5	+8	+5.5	25
5	Molde	14	7	2	5	+6	+6.5	23
6	Sarpsborg 08	14	6	3	5	-1	+1.4	21
7	Valerenga	14	6	2	6	-2	-2.8	20
8	Brann	15	6	1	8	+5	+0.8	19
9	Ham-Kam	14	5	3	6	-6	-4.3	18
10	Rosenborg	13	4	3	6	-3	-2.0	15
11	Sandefjord	14	4	3	7	-7	-7.2	15
12	Fredrikstad	13	4	2	7	-8	-8.5	14
13	Aalesund	14	2	7	5	-10	-10.0	13
14	KFUM Oslo	14	3	3	8	-10	-9.3	12
15	Kristiansund	14	3	3	8	-11	-8.6	12
16	Start	15	2	4	9	-18	-6.1	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tromso	9	6	2	1	+11	+9.9	20
2	Bodo/Glimt	7	6	0	1	+18	+17.2	18
3	Viking	6	6	0	0	+16	+6.1	18
4	Molde	7	5	0	2	+9	+3.4	15
5	Ham-Kam	7	5	0	2	+2	-2.8	15
6	Sarpsborg 08	7	4	2	1	+3	+2.1	14
7	Valerenga	7	4	1	2	+6	-0.6	13
8	Lillestrom	7	4	0	3	+5	+4.5	12
9	Rosenborg	7	3	2	2	+3	+3.3	11
10	Fredrikstad	6	3	1	2	+1	-1.6	10
11	KFUM Oslo	8	3	1	4	-2	-6.0	10
12	Brann	7	3	0	4	+0	+3.3	9
13	Sandefjord	7	2	3	2	-2	-4.2	9
14	Aalesund	8	1	5	2	-2	-1.9	8
15	Kristiansund	7	2	2	3	-2	-4.1	8
16	Start	6	1	3	2	-4	-0.4	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	8	5	2	1	+8	+5.7	17
2	Viking	8	5	1	2	+4	+6.9	16
3	Lillestrom	7	4	1	2	+3	+1.0	13
4	Tromso	6	3	2	1	+0	-1.2	11
5	Brann	8	3	1	4	+5	-2.5	10
6	Molde	7	2	2	3	-3	+3.0	8
7	Sarpsborg 08	7	2	1	4	-4	-0.6	7
8	Valerenga	7	2	1	4	-8	-2.2	7
9	Sandefjord	7	2	0	5	-5	-3.0	6
10	Aalesund	6	1	2	3	-8	-8.1	5
11	Rosenborg	6	1	1	4	-6	-5.4	4
12	Fredrikstad	7	1	1	5	-9	-6.9	4
13	Kristiansund	7	1	1	5	-9	-4.5	4
14	Start	9	1	1	7	-14	-5.7	4
15	Ham-Kam	7	0	3	4	-8	-1.4	3
16	KFUM Oslo	6	0	2	4	-8	-3.3	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.