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Eliteserien
Referee: Saggi
Rosenborg
S S U S S
1–0
Full-time
Fredrikstad
U S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rosenborg Fredrikstad
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
83%
50%
Points per game
2,7
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,8
1,8
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
0,7
0,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Eliteserien · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
2,0
3,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

3,01 xG 1,01
58% Possession 42%
17 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 6
0 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rosenborg 6. · Fredrikstad 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Bodo/Glimt 2 2 0 0 +4 +3.2 6
2 Fredrikstad 1 1 0 0 +3 -0.8 3
3 Valerenga 1 1 0 0 +2 -0.4 3
4 KFUM Oslo 1 1 0 0 +2 +0.8 3
5 Sarpsborg 08 1 1 0 0 +2 +0.8 3
6 Rosenborg 1 1 0 0 +1 +1.8 3
7 Tromso 1 1 0 0 +1 +2.6 3
8 Ham-Kam 2 1 0 1 -2 -1.1 3
9 Stromsgodset 1 0 0 1 -1 -1.8 0
10 Kristiansund 1 0 0 1 -1 -1.2 0
11 Haugesund 1 0 0 1 -1 -2.6 0
12 Bryne 1 0 0 1 -1 -0.9 0
13 Viking 1 0 0 1 -2 +0.4 0
14 Sandefjord 1 0 0 1 -2 -0.8 0
15 Molde 1 0 0 1 -2 -0.8 0
16 Brann 1 0 0 1 -3 +0.8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rosenborg Fredrikstad
1–0 S. Nypan
M. Broholm
39′
Half-time 1–0
62′
🔁 S. Molde
↦ S. Rafn
62′
🔁 S. Sorlokk
↦ E. Holten
74′
🔁 B. Faraas
↦ O. Ohlenschlaeger
74′
🔁 R. R. Shein
↦ P. Metcalfe
E. Reitan 🔁
↦ U. Jenssen
76′
O. Saeter 🔁
↦ S. Nypan
83′
83′
🔁 L. Begby
↦ M. Woledzi
93′
🟨 Fallou Fall
L. Racic 🔁
↦ S. Vaananen
95′
Emil Konradsen Ceide 🟨
97′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Rosenborg

4-3-3
1 S. Tangvik G
19 A. Pereira D
38 M. K. Ceide D
21 T. Nemcik D
23 U. Jenssen D
7 M. Broholm M
6 S. Vaananen M
8 I. Fossum M
41 S. Nypan F
39 D. Islamovic F
35 E. K. Ceide F
Bench (9)
2 E. Reitan
4 L. Racic
5 M. Zeidan
9 O. Saeter
12 R. Sandberg
15 J. Mortensen
18 N. Holm
22 H. Sletsjoe
45 J. Reitan-Sunde

Coach: Alfred Johansson

Fredrikstad

5-3-2
30 J. Fischer G
16 D. Eid D
22 M. Woledzi D
12 U. Fredriksen D
15 F. Fall D
5 S. Rafn D
20 O. Ohlenschlaeger M
6 L. Owusu M
11 P. Metcalfe M
9 E. Holten F
23 H. Skogvold F
Bench (9)
1 O. Ovretveit
3 B. Skaret
4 S. Molde
7 B. Faraas
13 S. Sorlokk
18 L. Begby
19 R. R. Shein
24 T. Engebakken
25 O. Langbraten

Coach: Andreas Hagen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
U
B
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.