Eliteserien
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Rosenborg
Fredrikstad
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Bodo/Glimt
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 | +3.2 | 6 |
| 2 |
Fredrikstad
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | -0.8 | 3 |
| 3 |
Valerenga
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | -0.4 | 3 |
| 4 |
KFUM Oslo
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | +0.8 | 3 |
| 5 |
Sarpsborg 08
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | +0.8 | 3 |
| 6 |
Rosenborg
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | +1.8 | 3 |
| 7 |
Tromso
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | +2.6 | 3 |
| 8 |
Ham-Kam
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | -1.1 | 3 |
| 9 |
Stromsgodset
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -1.8 | 0 |
| 10 |
Kristiansund
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -1.2 | 0 |
| 11 |
Haugesund
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -2.6 | 0 |
| 12 |
Bryne
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | -0.9 | 0 |
| 13 |
Viking
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | +0.4 | 0 |
| 14 |
Sandefjord
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | -0.8 | 0 |
| 15 |
Molde
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | -0.8 | 0 |
| 16 |
Brann
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | +0.8 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
S. Tangvik
G
A. Pereira
D
M. K. Ceide
D
T. Nemcik
D
U. Jenssen
D
M. Broholm
M
S. Vaananen
M
I. Fossum
M
S. Nypan
F
D. Islamovic
F
E. K. Ceide
F
Coach: Alfred Johansson
J. Fischer
G
D. Eid
D
U. Fredriksen
D
S. Rafn
D
O. Ohlenschlaeger
M
L. Owusu
M
P. Metcalfe
M
H. Skogvold
F
Coach: Andreas Hagen
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Stromsgodset
Rosenborg
Kristiansund
Rosenborg
Rosenborg
Sarpsborg 08
Ham-Kam
Rosenborg
Rosenborg
Stromsgodset
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.