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Premier League

Referee: C Kavanagh

Man United

T S S S S

0–0

Full-time

Man City

S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Man United Man City

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

1,7

Conceded

0,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,0

This season — Premier League · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 55%

60%

50%

Points per game

1,9

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

70%

30%

Both score Ø 60%

70%

50%

Average goals

3,6

2,8

Scored

1,9

1,7

Conceded

1,7

1,1

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%

11 Shots 9

2 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 3

2 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 6

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Man United 7. · Man City 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tottenham	11	7	3	1	+14	24
2	Liverpool	11	7	3	1	+9	24
3	Chelsea	11	6	4	1	+14	22
4	Leicester	11	7	0	4	+6	21
5	West Ham	12	6	2	4	+5	20
6	Southampton	11	6	2	3	+4	20
7	Man United	10	6	1	3	+2	19
8	Aston Villa	10	6	0	4	+8	18
9	Man City	10	5	3	2	+6	18
10	Everton	11	5	2	4	+2	17
11	Newcastle	11	5	2	4	-2	17
12	Wolves	12	5	2	5	-5	17
13	Crystal Palace	11	5	1	5	+1	16
14	Leeds	12	4	2	6	-5	14
15	Arsenal	11	4	1	6	-4	13
16	Brighton	11	2	4	5	-3	10
17	Fulham	11	2	1	8	-10	7
18	Burnley	10	1	3	6	-13	6
19	West Brom	12	1	3	8	-16	6
20	Sheffield United	11	0	1	10	-13	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	6	6	0	0	+12	18
2	Chelsea	6	3	2	1	+7	11
3	Tottenham	6	3	2	1	+4	11
4	Man City	5	3	1	1	+5	10
5	West Ham	6	3	1	2	+2	10
6	Southampton	5	3	0	2	+2	9
7	Newcastle	6	3	0	3	-4	9
8	Wolves	6	2	2	2	+0	8
9	Everton	5	2	1	2	+2	7
10	Crystal Palace	5	2	1	2	+1	7
11	Aston Villa	5	2	0	3	+1	6
12	Leicester	5	2	0	3	-2	6
13	Arsenal	5	2	0	3	-3	6
14	Leeds	6	1	2	3	-4	5
15	West Brom	6	1	2	3	-7	5
16	Burnley	5	1	1	3	-4	4
17	Man United	5	1	1	3	-7	4
18	Brighton	6	0	3	3	-4	3
19	Fulham	5	1	0	4	-6	3
20	Sheffield United	6	0	1	5	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man United	5	5	0	0	+9	15
2	Leicester	6	5	0	1	+8	15
3	Tottenham	5	4	1	0	+10	13
4	Aston Villa	5	4	0	1	+7	12
5	Chelsea	5	3	2	0	+7	11
6	Southampton	6	3	2	1	+2	11
7	West Ham	6	3	1	2	+3	10
8	Everton	6	3	1	2	+0	10
9	Crystal Palace	6	3	0	3	+0	9
10	Leeds	6	3	0	3	-1	9
11	Wolves	6	3	0	3	-5	9
12	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	+2	8
13	Man City	5	2	2	1	+1	8
14	Brighton	5	2	1	2	+1	7
15	Arsenal	6	2	1	3	-1	7
16	Liverpool	5	1	3	1	-3	6
17	Fulham	6	1	1	4	-4	4
18	Burnley	5	0	2	3	-9	2
19	West Brom	6	0	1	5	-9	1
20	Sheffield United	5	0	0	5	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.