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Premier League
Referee: Chris Kavanagh
2–3
Full-time
Ipswich
S S S T T
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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crystal Palace Ipswich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,8
Scored
1,5
2,0
Conceded
1,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Premier League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,0
4,0
Scored
1,3
1,3
Conceded
2,7
2,7
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-1,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

46% Possession 54%
11 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 1
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 3
0 Offside 1
6 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Crystal Palace 13. · Ipswich 14.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Man City 3 3 0 0 +5 +3.1 9
2 Arsenal 3 3 0 0 +5 +2.4 9
3 Hull 3 2 1 0 +3 -1.4 7
4 Chelsea 3 2 0 1 +1 +2.4 6
5 Brentford 3 1 2 0 +3 +3.5 5
6 Liverpool 3 1 2 0 +2 +0.9 5
7 Newcastle 3 1 2 0 +2 -1.8 5
8 Everton 3 1 2 0 +2 -1.2 5
9 Leeds 3 1 2 0 +1 -0.4 5
10 Brighton 3 1 1 1 +3 +2.0 4
11 Man United 3 1 1 1 +1 +3.4 4
12 Sunderland 3 1 1 1 +0 -0.1 4
13 Crystal Palace 3 1 0 2 -4 -0.7 3
14 Ipswich 3 1 0 2 -4 -1.4 3
15 Bournemouth 3 0 2 1 -1 -1.3 2
16 Nott'm Forest 3 0 2 1 -1 +0.7 2
17 Aston Villa 3 0 1 2 -5 -4.2 1
18 Tottenham 3 0 1 2 -5 -2.9 1
19 Fulham 3 0 0 3 -3 -2.0 0
20 Coventry 3 0 0 3 -5 -1.1 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Line-ups

Crystal Palace

3-4-2-1
44 W. Benítez G
26 C. Richards D
5 A. Disasi D
21 H. Ahanor D
25 A. Khalaili M
23 Q. Timber M
20 A. Wharton M
3 T. Mitchell M
18 D. Kamada M
10 Yeremy Pino M
22 J. Strand Larsen F
Bench (9)
11 D. McNeil
19 W. Hughes
31 R. Matthews
17 T. Tomiyasu
33 B. Chilwell
30 Óscar Mingueza
28 C. Doucouré
8 J. Lerma
12 Z. Gozo

Coach: P. Sage

Ipswich

4-2-3-1
37 K. Scherpen G
26 D. O'Shea D
6 I. Diop D
24 J. Greaves D
3 L. Davis D
23 S. Lukić M
25 E. Palacios M
7 A. Fatawu M
10 J. Enciso M
47 J. Clarke M
19 Emersonn F
Bench (9)
11 J. Philogene
28 C. Walton
4 C. Kipré
42 A. Ouattara
12 Florentino
32 M. Núñez
38 D. Maeda
9 Z. Flemming
29 C. Akpom

Coach: G. O'Neil

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,84
U
3,74
B ✓
3,98
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
1,22
U1,5
4,10
O2,5 ✓
1,76
U2,5
1,99
O3,5 ✓
2,75
U3,5
1,42
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
1,63
BLS nei
2,15

Referee

Chris Kavanagh · 136 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.