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Referee: N Gianforte

S U S S S

2–2

Full-time

U S U S U

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lugano Young Boys

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

83%

Average goals

2,8

5,7

Scored

1,8

3,7

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,7

xG conceded Pro

This season — Super League · 6/7 matches

Win Ø 79%

100%

57%

Points per game

3,0

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 92%

83%

100%

Both score Ø 77%

67%

86%

Average goals

3,5

5,7

Scored

2,8

3,7

Conceded

0,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

+2,2

+1,7

xG conceded Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

59% Possession 41%

17 Shots 14

7 Shots on target 5

4 Blocked shots 5

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

4 Corners 4

0 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 13

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lugano 1. · Young Boys 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	6	6	0	0	+13	+2.5	18
2	Young Boys	7	4	3	0	+12	+5.5	15
3	Sion	7	5	0	2	+6	+4.2	15
4	Basel	7	3	1	3	+0	-0.5	10
5	St. Gallen	7	3	1	3	-2	+4.2	10
6	Luzern	7	2	3	2	-3	-2.8	9
7	Grasshoppers	7	2	2	3	-4	+3.1	8
8	Zurich	7	2	1	4	-7	-5.0	7
9	Thun	7	2	1	4	-7	-5.2	7
10	Vaduz	7	2	0	5	-1	-3.6	6
11	Lausanne	7	1	3	3	-3	-3.4	6
12	Servette	6	1	1	4	-4	+1.0	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	3	3	0	0	+7	+2.0	9
2	Sion	4	3	0	1	+4	+4.8	9
3	Young Boys	4	2	2	0	+4	+3.5	8
4	Vaduz	3	2	0	1	+4	+0.3	6
5	Luzern	3	2	0	1	+0	+2.9	6
6	Grasshoppers	3	1	1	1	-1	+3.5	4
7	Servette	4	1	1	2	-2	+0.5	4
8	St. Gallen	4	1	1	2	-3	+4.0	4
9	Basel	4	1	0	3	-2	-1.1	3
10	Zurich	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.2	3
11	Lausanne	3	0	2	1	-1	-0.1	2
12	Thun	3	0	1	2	-7	-2.1	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lugano	3	3	0	0	+6	+0.5	9
2	Young Boys	3	2	1	0	+8	+2.0	7
3	Basel	3	2	1	0	+2	+0.6	7
4	Sion	3	2	0	1	+2	-0.6	6
5	St. Gallen	3	2	0	1	+1	+0.2	6
6	Thun	4	2	0	2	+0	-3.2	6
7	Lausanne	4	1	1	2	-2	-3.2	4
8	Grasshoppers	4	1	1	2	-3	-0.5	4
9	Zurich	4	1	1	2	-5	-4.8	4
10	Luzern	4	0	3	1	-3	-5.7	3
11	Servette	2	0	0	2	-2	+0.6	0
12	Vaduz	4	0	0	4	-5	-3.9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

3. May -26 Lugano – Young Boys 1–0 22. Mar -26 Young Boys – Lugano 1–1 21. Dec -25 Lugano – Young Boys 3–0 31. Aug -25 Young Boys – Lugano 3–1 24. May -25 Lugano – Young Boys 1–1

Match report

Lugano Young Boys

1–0 Daniel Dos Santos Correia ⚽

Antonios Papadopoulos

2′

Elias Pihlstrom 🔁

↦ Renato Steffen

21′

28′

⚽ Samuel Essende 1–1

Christian Fassnacht

45′

⚽ Christian Fassnacht 1–2

Felix Gebhard 🔁

↦ David von Ballmoos

45′

45′

🔁 Lewin Blum

↦ Isaac Schmidt

Half-time 1–2

Lars Lukas Mai 🟨

49′

61′

🟨 Sandro Lauper

Antonios Papadopoulos 🟨

62′

65′

🔁 Bahereba Guirassy

↦ Alan Virginius

Albian Ajeti 🔁

↦ Lars Lukas Mai

67′

Ezdjan Alijoski 🔁

↦ Yanis Cimignani

68′

Daniel Dos Santos Correia 🟨

75′

2–2 Albian Ajeti ⚽

Dereck Moncada

80′

81′

🔁 Mamadou Kaly·Sene

↦ Samuel Essende

86′

🔁 Moritz Jenz

↦ Sandro Lauper

86′

🔁 Dominik Pech

↦ Armin Gigovic

Beckham Castro 🔁

↦ Dereck Moncada

89′

94′

🟨 Marvin Keller

Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Lugano

3-5-2

16

D. von Ballmoos G

6

A. Papadopoulos D

17

L. Mai D

3

H. Delcroix D

2

B. Karimov M

25

U. Bislimi M

8

A. Grgić M

27

Daniel Dos Santos M

21

Y. Cimignani M

11

R. Steffen M

30

D. Moncada F

Bench (9)

22 B. Castro

18 J. Bichsel

7 E. Alioski

28 F. Gebhardt

4 D. Kelvin

24 E. Pihlström

14 A. Kendouci

9 A. Ajeti

23 G. Ajdin

Coach: M. Croci-Torti

Young Boys

4-2-3-1

1

M. Keller G

22

I. Schmidt D

30

S. Lauper D

23

L. Benito D

33

S. Bukinac D

8

A. Gigović M

6

E. Fernandes M

16

C. Fassnacht M

10

A. Sanches M

7

A. Virginius M

99

S. Essende F

Bench (9)

27 L. Blum

34 E. Etoski

12 Bahereba Guirassy

17 S. Janko

4 M. Jenz

52 N. Tschanz

18 J. Mall

13 D. Pech

9 K. Sène

Coach: G. Seoane

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H

2,20

🔒

Pinnacle 2,29 Bet365 2,25 Betano 2,25 1xBet 2,22 Betfair 2,20 BetVictor 2,20 Marathonbet 2,20 William Hill 2,20 SBO 2,18

U ✓

3,90

🔒

Pinnacle 4,26 Betfair 4,00 1xBet 3,94 Marathonbet 3,94 Bet365 3,90 BetVictor 3,90 William Hill 3,90 Betano 3,85 SBO 3,63

B

2,75

🔒

1xBet 2,76 Pinnacle 2,76 Bet365 2,75 Betano 2,75 Marathonbet 2,75 Betfair 2,70 SBO 2,66 BetVictor 2,63 William Hill 2,62

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

1,10

🔒

U1,5

6,50

🔒

O2,5 ✓

1,36

🔒

U2,5

3,10

🔒

O3,5 ✓

1,90

🔒

U3,5

1,88

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

1,33

🔒

BLS nei

3,10

🔒

Recent matches

6. Sep SL 2 weeks ago

3. Sep SL 2 weeks ago

30. Aug SL 3 weeks ago

27. Aug ECL 3 weeks ago

Maccabi Tel Aviv

20. Aug ECL 1 month ago

Maccabi Tel Aviv

Referee

N Gianforte · 38 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

4,7 / match

Average

⚽ Free kicks

24,7 / match

Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,45 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.