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Premier League

Referee: C Pawson

Leicester

S U U S S

2–0

Full-time

Chelsea

S T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Leicester Chelsea

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

2,8

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,2

This season — Premier League · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 53%

61%

44%

Points per game

1,9

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

61%

Both score Ø 47%

44%

50%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

1,8

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

35% Possession 65%

8 Shots 9

6 Shots on target 5

0 Blocked shots 1

5 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 3

1 Offside 3

7 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Leicester 3. · Chelsea 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man United	18	11	4	3	+10	37
2	Man City	17	10	5	2	+16	35
3	Leicester	18	11	2	5	+12	35
4	Liverpool	18	9	7	2	+16	34
5	Tottenham	18	9	6	3	+16	33
6	Everton	17	10	2	5	+7	32
7	West Ham	19	9	5	5	+5	32
8	Chelsea	18	8	5	5	+12	29
9	Southampton	18	8	5	5	+5	29
10	Arsenal	19	8	3	8	+4	27
11	Aston Villa	15	8	2	5	+13	26
12	Leeds	18	7	2	9	-4	23
13	Crystal Palace	19	6	5	8	-11	23
14	Wolves	19	6	4	9	-8	22
15	Newcastle	18	5	4	9	-12	19
16	Brighton	19	3	8	8	-7	17
17	Burnley	17	4	4	9	-13	16
18	Fulham	17	2	6	9	-11	12
19	West Brom	19	2	5	12	-28	11
20	Sheffield United	19	1	2	16	-22	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	9	7	2	0	+13	23
2	Man City	9	6	2	1	+12	20
3	West Ham	10	5	3	2	+4	18
4	Southampton	9	5	1	3	+5	16
5	Chelsea	9	4	3	2	+8	15
6	Tottenham	9	4	3	2	+5	15
7	Arsenal	10	4	2	4	+1	14
8	Man United	9	4	2	3	-1	14
9	Everton	8	4	1	3	+3	13
10	Leicester	9	4	1	4	+1	13
11	Wolves	10	3	3	4	-1	12
12	Crystal Palace	9	3	3	3	-4	12
13	Leeds	9	3	2	4	-1	11
14	Newcastle	9	3	2	4	-5	11
15	Aston Villa	7	3	1	3	+4	10
16	Burnley	8	3	1	4	-3	10
17	Fulham	9	1	3	5	-7	6
18	Brighton	9	0	5	4	-5	5
19	West Brom	9	1	2	6	-19	5
20	Sheffield United	10	1	1	8	-9	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man United	9	7	2	0	+11	23
2	Leicester	9	7	1	1	+11	22
3	Everton	9	6	1	2	+4	19
4	Tottenham	9	5	3	1	+11	18
5	Aston Villa	8	5	1	2	+9	16
6	Man City	8	4	3	1	+4	15
7	Chelsea	9	4	2	3	+4	14
8	West Ham	9	4	2	3	+1	14
9	Arsenal	9	4	1	4	+3	13
10	Southampton	9	3	4	2	+0	13
11	Brighton	10	3	3	4	-2	12
12	Leeds	9	4	0	5	-3	12
13	Liverpool	9	2	5	2	+3	11
14	Crystal Palace	10	3	2	5	-7	11
15	Wolves	9	3	1	5	-7	10
16	Newcastle	9	2	2	5	-7	8
17	Fulham	8	1	3	4	-4	6
18	West Brom	10	1	3	6	-9	6
19	Burnley	9	1	3	5	-10	6
20	Sheffield United	9	0	1	8	-13	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.