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Premier League

Referee: Graham Scott

Chelsea

U U S U T

1–1

Full-time

Leicester

U S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chelsea Leicester

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,5

1,5

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,2

This season — Premier League · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

4,0

0,0

Scored

0,0

Conceded

4,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

-4,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%

14 Shots 12

5 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 5

3 Offside 3

9 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Chelsea 20. · Leicester 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Arsenal	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Man City	2	1	1	0	+5	4
4	Brighton	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Tottenham	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Bournemouth	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Sheffield United	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Everton	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Man United	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Burnley	2	1	0	1	+2	3
11	Norwich	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Leicester	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Wolves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Crystal Palace	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	West Ham	2	0	1	1	-5	1
16	Aston Villa	2	0	0	2	-3	0
17	Newcastle	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Southampton	2	0	0	2	-4	0
19	Watford	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Chelsea	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man United	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Burnley	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Norwich	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Tottenham	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Sheffield United	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Everton	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Man City	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Bournemouth	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Brighton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Crystal Palace	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Leicester	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Aston Villa	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Watford	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	West Ham	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Brighton	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Liverpool	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Bournemouth	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Arsenal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Tottenham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Sheffield United	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	West Ham	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Everton	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Wolves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Burnley	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Crystal Palace	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Watford	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Newcastle	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Aston Villa	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Norwich	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Southampton	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Chelsea	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.