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Championship
Referee: S Martin
Preston
S U S S T
2–1
Full-time
Hull
T T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Preston Hull
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,2
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,8
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
0,7
2,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,5
This season — Championship · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 39%
45%
33%
Points per game
1,6
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
42%
64%
Both score Ø 54%
52%
55%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,4
1,4
Conceded
1,1
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

57% Possession 43%
12 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 6
3 Offside 6
8 Free kicks against 14
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Preston 5. · Hull 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 West Brom 33 17 12 4 +23 63
2 Leeds 33 17 8 8 +18 59
3 Fulham 32 16 8 8 +12 56
4 Nott'm Forest 33 15 10 8 +12 55
5 Preston 33 15 8 10 +10 53
6 Bristol City 33 15 8 10 +2 53
7 Blackburn 34 14 9 11 +10 51
8 Cardiff 32 12 13 7 +3 49
9 Millwall 33 12 13 8 +2 49
10 Swansea 31 12 12 7 +5 48
11 Brentford 31 13 8 10 +21 47
12 Derby 34 11 12 11 -4 45
13 Sheffield Weds 33 12 8 13 +3 44
14 Birmingham 33 12 8 13 -7 44
15 Reading 33 11 9 13 +4 42
16 QPR 33 12 6 15 -7 42
17 Hull 33 11 8 14 -4 41
18 Middlesbrough 33 8 13 12 -9 37
19 Charlton 33 9 9 15 -6 36
20 Huddersfield 33 9 9 15 -14 36
21 Stoke 33 10 4 19 -12 34
22 Wigan 33 7 10 16 -17 31
23 Luton 33 9 3 21 -27 30
24 Barnsley 33 6 10 17 -18 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Preston Hull
40′
M. Wilks 0–1
C. Elder
Half-time 0–1
56′
🟨 George Honeyman
A. Browne 🔁
↦ S. Maguire
58′
J. Stockley 🔁
↦ S. Sinclair
58′
64′
🔁 Jon Toral
↦ T. Eaves
1–1 P. Gallagher
67′
2–1 A. Browne
J. Stockley
71′
77′
🔁 N. Balogh
↦ G. Honeyman
81′
🟨 Matthew Pennington
B. Potts 🔁
↦ P. Gallagher
89′
Jayden Stockley 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Jordy de Wijs
96′
🔁 M. Maddison
↦ C. Elder
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Preston

4-2-3-1
1 D. Rudd G
16 A. Hughes D
21 P. Bauer D
2 D. Fisher D
6 B. Davies D
12 P. Gallagher M
31 S. Sinclair M
29 T. Barkhuizen M
4 B. Pearson M
10 J. Harrop M
24 S. Maguire F
Bench (7)
8 A. Browne
20 J. Stockley
44 B. Potts
15 J. Rafferty
35 D. Nugent
5 T. Clarke
25 C. Ripley

Coach: A. Neil

Hull

4-2-3-1
1 G. Long G
4 J. de Wijs D
25 M. Pennington D
5 R. Burke D
26 C. Elder D
36 J. Irvine M
37 Leonardo Lopes M
18 G. Honeyman M
27 J. Magennis M
9 T. Eaves F
43 M. Wilks M
Bench (7)
10 Jon Toral
24 N. Balogh
11 M. Maddison
17 S. McLoughlin
13 M. Ingram
6 K. Stewart
16 R. McKenzie

Coach: G. McCann

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,60
U
4,07
B
5,45
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,76
U2,5
2,05
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Martin · 160 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.