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Bundesliga

Referee: F Willenborg

Freiburg

S T T S U

0–2

Full-time

Fortuna Dusseldorf

T T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Freiburg Fortuna Dusseldorf

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

1,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-1,0

This season — Bundesliga · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 30%

41%

18%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

59%

64%

Both score Ø 59%

59%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

1,4

1,0

Conceded

1,4

2,1

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%

15 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 4

6 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 4

2 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Freiburg 7. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	23	15	4	4	+39	49
2	RB Leipzig	22	13	6	3	+31	45
3	Dortmund	22	12	6	4	+31	42
4	M'gladbach	21	13	3	5	+18	42
5	Leverkusen	22	12	4	6	+9	40
6	Schalke 04	22	9	9	4	+5	36
7	Freiburg	22	9	6	7	+0	33
8	Hoffenheim	22	10	3	9	-2	33
9	Wolfsburg	22	8	7	7	+0	31
10	Ein Frankfurt	22	8	4	10	+2	28
11	Augsburg	22	7	6	9	-11	27
12	Union Berlin	22	8	2	12	-8	26
13	Hertha	22	7	5	10	-11	26
14	FC Koln	21	7	2	12	-14	23
15	Mainz	22	7	1	14	-17	22
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	22	4	5	13	-25	17
17	Werder Bremen	22	4	5	13	-26	17
18	Paderborn	23	4	4	15	-21	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	11	8	3	0	+30	27
2	Bayern Munich	12	8	2	2	+25	26
3	M'gladbach	10	8	1	1	+14	25
4	RB Leipzig	11	7	3	1	+19	24
5	Ein Frankfurt	11	6	3	2	+12	21
6	Schalke 04	11	5	5	1	+5	20
7	Leverkusen	11	5	4	2	+6	19
8	Augsburg	11	5	3	3	+4	18
9	Union Berlin	11	6	0	5	+2	18
10	Freiburg	10	5	2	3	+2	17
11	FC Koln	11	5	1	5	+1	16
12	Hoffenheim	12	5	1	6	-6	16
13	Wolfsburg	11	3	5	3	-1	14
14	Hertha	11	3	2	6	-9	11
15	Fortuna Dusseldorf	11	3	2	6	-10	11
16	Mainz	11	3	1	7	-8	10
17	Paderborn	12	2	1	9	-13	7
18	Werder Bremen	10	1	2	7	-16	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	11	7	2	2	+14	23
2	RB Leipzig	11	6	3	2	+12	21
3	Leverkusen	11	7	0	4	+3	21
4	M'gladbach	11	5	2	4	+4	17
5	Hoffenheim	10	5	2	3	+4	17
6	Wolfsburg	11	5	2	4	+1	17
7	Schalke 04	11	4	4	3	+0	16
8	Freiburg	12	4	4	4	-2	16
9	Dortmund	11	4	3	4	+1	15
10	Hertha	11	4	3	4	-2	15
11	Mainz	11	4	0	7	-9	12
12	Werder Bremen	12	3	3	6	-10	12
13	Paderborn	11	2	3	6	-8	9
14	Augsburg	11	2	3	6	-15	9
15	Union Berlin	11	2	2	7	-10	8
16	Ein Frankfurt	11	2	1	8	-10	7
17	FC Koln	10	2	1	7	-15	7
18	Fortuna Dusseldorf	11	1	3	7	-15	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.