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Championship
Referee: A Davies
Reading
S S S S U
1–0
Full-time
Wycombe
T T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Reading Wycombe
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/5 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,2
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
33%
40%
Both score Ø 27%
33%
20%
Average goals
2,2
2,6
Scored
1,3
0,2
Conceded
0,8
2,4
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-2,2
This season — Championship · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 40%
80%
0%
Points per game
2,6
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
20%
40%
Both score Ø 20%
20%
20%
Average goals
1,6
2,6
Scored
1,4
0,2
Conceded
0,2
2,4
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-2,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

65% Possession 35%
4 Shots 10
1 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
2 Corners 1
3 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 17
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Reading 1. · Wycombe 24.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Reading 5 4 1 0 +6 13
2 Bristol City 6 4 1 1 +5 13
3 Bournemouth 5 3 2 0 +4 11
4 Swansea 6 3 2 1 +3 11
5 Millwall 6 3 2 1 +3 11
6 Watford 5 3 1 1 +2 10
7 Norwich 6 3 1 2 +1 10
8 Huddersfield 6 3 1 2 -1 10
9 Middlesbrough 6 2 3 1 +1 9
10 Luton 6 3 0 3 -1 9
11 Stoke 5 2 2 1 +1 8
12 Sheffield Weds 5 2 2 1 +1 8
13 Blackburn 5 2 1 2 +7 7
14 Brentford 5 2 1 2 +2 7
15 Cardiff 5 2 1 2 +0 7
16 QPR 5 1 3 1 +1 6
17 Rotherham 6 1 3 2 -1 6
18 Birmingham 6 1 3 2 -1 6
19 Coventry 6 1 2 3 -4 5
20 Preston 5 1 1 3 -1 4
21 Nott'm Forest 6 1 1 4 -5 4
22 Derby 6 1 0 5 -8 3
23 Barnsley 5 0 2 3 -4 2
24 Wycombe 5 0 0 5 -11 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Reading Wycombe
Lucas João 🟨
35′
Half-time 0–0
Tomás Esteves 🔁
↦ T. Holmes
57′
Alfa Semedo 🔁
↦ Y. Meïté
57′
1–0 Lucas João
L. Moore
63′
64′
🔁 F. Onyedinma
↦ S. Kashket
68′
🔁 A. Akinfenwa
↦ A. Samuel
Andy Rinomhota 🟨
78′
80′
🔁 A. Mehmeti
↦ M. Bloomfield
T. Mcintyre 🔁
↦ M. Olise
89′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Reading

4-2-3-1
33 Rafael G
4 M. Morrison D
6 L. Moore D
3 O. Richards D
29 T. Holmes D
28 J. Laurent M
14 O. Ejaria M
8 A. Rinomhota M
7 M. Olise M
18 Lucas João F
11 Y. Meïté M
Bench (7)
2 Tomás Esteves
30 Alfa Semedo
5 T. Mcintyre
24 S. Aluko
15 L. Gibson
22 L. Southwood
47 G. Puşcaş

Coach: V. Paunovic

Wycombe

4-4-2
1 R. Allsop G
3 J. Jacobson D
2 J. Grimmer D
5 A. Stewart D
12 J. Knight D
10 M. Bloomfield M
17 D. Horgan M
18 C. Thompson M
24 D. Adeniran M
25 A. Samuel F
11 S. Kashket F
Bench (7)
23 F. Onyedinma
20 A. Akinfenwa
33 A. Mehmeti
31 D. Stockdale
22 N. Freeman
7 D. Wheeler
21 D. Charles

Coach: G. Ainsworth

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,48
U
4,31
B
6,95
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,94
U2,5 ✓
1,86
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Davies · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,09 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.